TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059281
Played Sep 2Finished
Jakub Kycelt
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611811411––––
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:33 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Kycelt above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 51 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 58.8%
51 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Kycelt 12–16 Tomas Postelt Jakub Kycelt has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Postelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Postelt
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kycelt 1782 vs Postelt 1796
Postelt
Correct
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kycelt 60% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kycelt 50% vs Postelt 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kycelt +3 · Postelt -2
Kycelt
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKycelt 1.91 / Postelt 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kycelt)+5.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059281
Kycelt1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 56 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back25% 16 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 33
Postelt1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 58 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it62% 34 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKycelt4wins
AwayPostelt6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPostelt leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKycelt50%4 of 8
AwayPosteltn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kycelt8Postelt2n = 10Kycelt took 8 of 10
S2Kycelt4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Kycelt3Postelt7n = 10Postelt took 7 of 10
S4Kycelt3Postelt6n = 9Postelt took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKyceltPosteltK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.539.0+0.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKyceltPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 312 vs 341 / 73950%46.1%156 / 312 vs 341 / 739Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltKycelt 1.91/Postelt 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt—116781T. Postelt—81111113
WSep 1 · 14:30J. Kycelt—12112113T. Postelt—1051151
WAug 1 · 18:00J. Kycelt—119119133T. Postelt—511811112
LJun 29 · 14:00J. Kycelt—116791T. Postelt—71111113
WJun 25 · 02:58J. Kycelt—12911113T. Postelt—1011451
LJun 25 · 24:30J. Kycelt—1012551T. Postelt—121011113
LJun 5 · 02:00J. Kycelt—1111411112T. Postelt—134117133
WMay 28 · 17:00J. Kycelt—1113113T. Postelt—31190
LMay 28 · 14:30J. Kycelt—1116991T. Postelt—51811113
LMay 21 · 16:30J. Kycelt—1191171T. Postelt—71113113
J. Kycelt10
LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191LSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113
T. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091LSep 2 · 18:30T. Postelt1.671211131192J. Ruzicka2.10149157113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
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