TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086672
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Vales
Home
1.43
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11811131412117––
Tomas Postelt
Away
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Vales above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 87 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Vales 20–14 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 14 of their 34 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:59What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.43 (65%)
Vales
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-14 in 34
Vales
Correct
gap of 6 in 34, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vales 1901 vs Postelt 1807
Vales
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vales 60% vs Postelt 80%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vales 50% vs Postelt 70%
Postelt
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vales -1 · Postelt +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vales) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVales 1.43 / Postelt 2.60
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vales)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086672
Vales1.43
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite56% won 116 of 208
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it70% 76 of 108
Postelt2.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 72 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back33% 31 of 94
Down 0–2, comes back13% 6 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVales5wins
AwayPostelt5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVales66.7%4 of 6
AwayPostelt75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vales6Postelt4n = 10Vales took 6 of 10
S2Vales4Postelt6n = 10Postelt took 6 of 10
S3Vales6Postelt4n = 10Vales took 6 of 10
S4Vales5Postelt3n = 8Vales took 5 of 8
S5Vales1Postelt3n = 4Postelt took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricValesPosteltV − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.9+1.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricValesPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 510 vs 344 / 74154.9%46.4%280 / 510 vs 344 / 741Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.739.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ValesVales 1.43/Postelt 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Vales · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vales won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:00J. Vales—981111113T. Postelt—11117872
LJun 27 · 24:30J. Vales—1110111182T. Postelt—912613113
WJun 24 · 23:00J. Vales—11511113T. Postelt—811851
WJun 24 · 09:00J. Vales—121213113T. Postelt—10101571
LJun 24 · 06:30J. Vales—91191152T. Postelt—116119113
LJun 23 · 07:00J. Vales—91160T. Postelt—1113113
WJun 17 · 17:00J. Vales—1111113T. Postelt—3780
LJun 17 · 14:30J. Vales—11711862T. Postelt—711911113
LJun 13 · 14:00J. Vales—412861T. Postelt—111011113
WJun 13 · 10:30J. Vales—111111123T. Postelt—6138101
J. Vales10
LSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661WSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133LSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113LSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113LSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113
T. Postelt10
WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091LSep 2 · 18:30T. Postelt1.671211131192J. Ruzicka2.10149157113WSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
Upcoming Matches
J. Vales
T. Postelt
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.