TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13094027
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
7111618117118811
Tomas Postelt
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Tomas Postelt below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 16-18
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 108 set 5, 8-11
108 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 26–19 Tomas Postelt Tomas Postelt has won 19 of their 45 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Zahradka beat Postelt 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zahradka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Postelt form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.83 / Postelt 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zahradka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13094027
Zahradka1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Postelt1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka8wins
AwayPostelt2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka75%6 of 8
AwayPosteltn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka8Postelt2n = 10Zahradka took 8 of 10
S2Zahradka6Postelt4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S3Zahradka6Postelt4n = 10Zahradka took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Postelt4n = 8split evenly
S5Zahradka3Postelt1n = 4Zahradka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaPosteltZ − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.736.3+6.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaPosteltBasisWin rate · lifetime439 / 899 vs 345 / 74548.8%46.3%439 / 899 vs 345 / 745Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZahradkaZahradka 1.83/Postelt 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zahradka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Postelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:00M. Zahradka—1111123T. Postelt—35100
WAug 20 · 12:58M. Zahradka—311117113T. Postelt—11591142
WAug 20 · 12:30M. Zahradka—111113113T. Postelt—7131141
LMay 18 · 16:30M. Zahradka—117991T. Postelt—91111113
WMay 14 · 07:30M. Zahradka—1111113T. Postelt—6870
LMay 8 · 14:30M. Zahradka—15911572T. Postelt—1311711113
WMay 8 · 02:00M. Zahradka—9101211113T. Postelt—111210562
WMay 5 · 10:00M. Zahradka—111179113T. Postelt—78111162
WJan 28 · 08:30M. Zahradka—111111113T. Postelt—951341
WJan 22 · 12:00M. Zahradka—11128113T. Postelt—8101171
M. Zahradka10
LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:30M. Zahradka1.91511991J. Kycelt1.8011611113WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113
T. Postelt10
WSep 7 · 16:30T. Postelt1.7381111123J. Kycelt2.001199101LSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123LSep 7 · 14:00E. Mares1.83131111113T. Postelt1.83157561LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091
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