TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13086677
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116911911––
Jakub Kycelt
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:00 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Zahradka to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Jakub Kycelt below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 73 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Zahradka at 59.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 8–4 Jakub Kycelt Jakub Kycelt has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:00What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kycelt
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Zahradka
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1870 vs Kycelt 1787
Zahradka
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 60% vs Kycelt 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 80% vs Kycelt 40%
Zahradka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka +1 · Kycelt -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kycelt) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 1.91 / Kycelt 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kycelt)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13086677
Zahradka1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 57
Kycelt1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it96% 26 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it81% 34 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka6wins
AwayKycelt4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZahradka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka100%5 of 5
AwayKycelt80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka5Kycelt5n = 10split evenly
S2Zahradka5Kycelt5n = 10split evenly
S3Zahradka5Kycelt5n = 10split evenly
S4Zahradka2Kycelt4n = 6Kycelt took 4 of 6
S5Zahradka3Kycelt0n = 3Zahradka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKyceltZ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.436.0+0.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKyceltBasisWin rate · lifetime438 / 896 vs 156 / 31448.9%49.7%438 / 896 vs 156 / 314Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KyceltZahradka 1.91/Kycelt 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kycelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kycelt won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 26 · 23:30M. Zahradka—781181J. Kycelt—11117113
LMay 21 · 13:30M. Zahradka—5870J. Kycelt—1111113
WMay 21 · 12:30M. Zahradka—118118113J. Kycelt—41191162
WMay 14 · 10:30M. Zahradka—1113113J. Kycelt—61180
LMay 14 · 06:30M. Zahradka—5590J. Kycelt—1111113
WMar 12 · 21:00M. Zahradka—611115113J. Kycelt—11981172
LSep 19 · 08:30M. Zahradka—1111991J. Kycelt—13611113
WJun 6 · 15:00M. Zahradka—17117113J. Kycelt—1591121
WJun 5 · 13:00M. Zahradka—1111113J. Kycelt—6890
WJun 5 · 12:00M. Zahradka—116511113J. Kycelt—91111282
M. Zahradka10
LSep 7 · 16:00E. Mares1.251111113M. Zahradka3.753870WSep 7 · 15:00T. Postelt1.8035100M. Zahradka1.911111123WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361
J. Kycelt10
WSep 7 · 15:30J. Kycelt2.50591211193E. Mares1.501111109172LSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113WSep 2 · 19:30J. Ruzicka2.509750J. Kycelt1.501111113WSep 2 · 18:00J. Kycelt1.531111113M. Huk2.388780WSep 2 · 03:00L. Zeman1.73891251J. Kycelt2.00111110113LSep 2 · 01:30J. Kycelt2.63913691E. Mares1.44111111113LSep 2 · 24:30M. Huk2.5011612113J. Kycelt1.508111081LSep 1 · 23:30L. Zeman1.7310111011123J. Kycelt2.00126125102WSep 1 · 22:30J. Kycelt1.9111113113F. Wolf1.80361191
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