TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059282
Played Sep 2Finished
Tomas Postelt
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141191315117911
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Postelt to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingTomas Postelt above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 13-15
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 112 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Tomas Postelt at 54.0%
112 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Postelt 12–14 Jiri Ruzicka Tomas Postelt has won 12 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:34What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Postelt
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-14 in 26
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 2 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Postelt 1835 vs Ruzicka 1687
Postelt
Wrong
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Postelt 80% vs Ruzicka 0%
Postelt
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Postelt 80% vs Ruzicka 40%
Postelt
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Postelt +3 · Ruzicka -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Postelt) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPostelt 1.67 / Ruzicka 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Postelt)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059282
Postelt1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite47% won 58 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it62% 34 of 55
Ruzicka2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 149 of 367
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 226
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePostelt2wins
AwayRuzicka8wins
6 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePostelt20%1 of 5
AwayRuzicka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Postelt5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Postelt3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Postelt4Ruzicka6n = 10Ruzicka took 6 of 10
S4Postelt5Ruzicka4n = 9Postelt took 5 of 9
S5Postelt1Ruzicka5n = 6Ruzicka took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPosteltRuzickaP − RBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.345.1−0.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPosteltRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime341 / 738 vs 675 / 139446.2%48.4%341 / 738 vs 675 / 1394Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PosteltPostelt 1.67/Ruzicka 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59%
Postelt · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 17 · 13:30T. Postelt—811111182J. Ruzicka—118138113
WJun 17 · 12:00T. Postelt—81111153J. Ruzicka—1166131
LApr 1 · 03:30T. Postelt—9880J. Ruzicka—1111113
LApr 1 · 24:00T. Postelt—6611111J. Ruzicka—11115133
LMar 30 · 01:00T. Postelt—11891192J. Ruzicka—811119113
WMar 5 · 13:30T. Postelt—1161110113J. Ruzicka—41171262
LMar 3 · 12:30T. Postelt—8121191J. Ruzicka—11149113
LFeb 19 · 07:30T. Postelt—118811102J. Ruzicka—811113123
LFeb 18 · 01:00T. Postelt—111371082J. Ruzicka—8111112113
LFeb 12 · 15:30T. Postelt—1151411152J. Ruzicka—611168173
T. Postelt10
LSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271WSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123WSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130WSep 2 · 20:00J. Kycelt1.916840T. Postelt1.801111113LSep 2 · 19:00M. Huk2.1061112113T. Postelt1.671171091WSep 1 · 17:30J. Kycelt1.85116781T. Postelt1.8581111113WSep 1 · 16:00F. Wolf1.80511751T. Postelt1.9111411113WSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LSep 2 · 20:30M. Huk1.83118116113J. Ruzicka1.8331181152
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