TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076177
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Jindrak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012119511115119
Jakub Vales
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Vales to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Jindrak above · Jakub Vales below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 94 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Vales at 54.0%
94 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Jindrak 15–11 Jakub Vales Jakub Vales has won 11 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:28What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Vales
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-11 in 26
Jindrak
Correct
gap of 4 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jindrak 1956 vs Vales 1892
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jindrak 40% vs Vales 60%
Vales
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jindrak 60% vs Vales 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jindrak -3 · Vales -1
Jindrak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJindrak 1.83 / Vales 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Jindrak)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076177
Jindrak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Vales1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJindrak6wins
AwayVales4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJindrak leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJindrak83.3%5 of 6
AwayVales75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jindrak6Vales4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S2Jindrak6Vales4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S3Jindrak5Vales5n = 10split evenly
S4Jindrak6Vales4n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S5Jindrak1Vales2n = 3Vales took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJindrakValesJ − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.7+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJindrakValesBasisWin rate · lifetime241 / 437 vs 277 / 50655.2%54.7%241 / 437 vs 277 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakJindrak 1.83/Vales 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak—1011511113J. Vales—12911592
WJul 29 · 11:30L. Jindrak—11118123J. Vales—9711101
LJul 29 · 07:00L. Jindrak—6101161J. Vales—11128113
WJun 24 · 08:00L. Jindrak—121310123J. Vales—101112101
WJun 23 · 08:00L. Jindrak—14811113J. Vales—1211781
LJun 20 · 17:30L. Jindrak—61111992J. Vales—118611113
WJun 20 · 14:30L. Jindrak—12119113J. Vales—1091191
LJun 20 · 10:00L. Jindrak—11612852J. Vales—6111011113
WJun 16 · 09:30L. Jindrak—111310113J. Vales—8111271
LJun 16 · 06:00L. Jindrak—751191J. Vales—11115113
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113WAug 26 · 07:30T. Postelt2.3811560L. Jindrak1.531311113
J. Vales10
WSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271LSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661WSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133LSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113LSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113LSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113
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