TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13082108
Played Sep 6Finished
Jakub Vales
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611118116116––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:39 and never touched — 58.0% is still 58.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Vales to win
58.0%
58.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Vales above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 70 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Jakub Vales at 58.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Vales 10–2 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 2 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Vales
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-2 in 12
Vales
Correct
gap of 8 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vales 1910 vs Kolisnyk 1715
Vales
Correct
both rated, 195 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vales 20% vs Kolisnyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vales 40% vs Kolisnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vales +1 · Kolisnyk -4
Kolisnyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Vales) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolisnyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVales 1.36 / Kolisnyk 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Vales)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13082108
Vales1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 119 of 211
Up 2–0, closes it89% 54 of 61
Up 1–0, closes it71% 77 of 109
Kolisnyk3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 85 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back22% 21 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVales8wins
AwayKolisnyk2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderVales leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVales33.3%1 of 3
AwayKolisnyk0%0 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vales3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Vales5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Vales8Kolisnyk2n = 10Vales took 8 of 10
S4Vales7Kolisnyk3n = 10Vales took 7 of 10
S5Vales4Kolisnyk1n = 5Vales took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricValesKolisnykV − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.037.4+4.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricValesKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime281 / 511 vs 553 / 110055%50.3%281 / 511 vs 553 / 1100Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ValesVales 1.36/Kolisnyk 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Vales · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vales won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales—61111113O. Kolisnyk—118661
WJul 30 · 22:00J. Vales—41111113O. Kolisnyk—111751
WJul 24 · 11:00J. Vales—81111123O. Kolisnyk—1147101
LJul 24 · 07:00J. Vales—118911112O. Kolisnyk—711114133
WOct 29 · 01:00J. Vales—211115113O. Kolisnyk—11881152
WOct 20 · 23:30J. Vales—11611113O. Kolisnyk—511991
LSep 9 · 21:30J. Vales—113581O. Kolisnyk—91111113
WSep 9 · 19:30J. Vales—871111113O. Kolisnyk—11115732
WSep 5 · 15:30J. Vales—511117113O. Kolisnyk—11941132
WAug 11 · 17:02J. Vales—1171111133O. Kolisnyk—131193112
J. Vales10
WSep 6 · 09:30J. Vales1.43111114113T. Postelt2.608131271LSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:00T. Postelt2.7511117872J. Vales1.40981111113WSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133LSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113LSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113LSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113WAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
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