TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077928
Played Sep 5Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411911––––
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeJan Mecl Jr to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 52 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Mecl Jr at 60.1%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 17–23 Jan Mecl Jr Oleksandr Kolisnyk has won 17 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-23 in 40
Jr
Correct
gap of 6 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1767 vs Jr 1723
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 80% vs Jr 20%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 70% vs Jr 30%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk -1 · Jr -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 2.25 / Jr 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jr)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077928
Kolisnyk2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog47% won 87 of 184
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 96
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Jr1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 129 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 122
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk3wins
AwayJr7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk66.7%2 of 3
AwayJr85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Kolisnyk4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S3Kolisnyk3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S4Kolisnyk4Jr5n = 9Jr took 5 of 9
S5Kolisnyk3Jr2n = 5Kolisnyk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykJrK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.546.5−4.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykJrBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1100 vs 400 / 77150.6%51.9%556 / 1100 vs 400 / 771Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrKolisnyk 2.25/Jr 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—11111010203J. Jr—881212182
LAug 26 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk—1071181J. Jr—12119113
LAug 26 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—95111182J. Jr—111197113
LAug 24 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—1185121J. Jr—91111143
LAug 10 · 13:00O. Kolisnyk—41270J. Jr—1114113
LAug 10 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk—491111112J. Jr—111158133
WAug 9 · 13:30O. Kolisnyk—1112811113J. Jr—91411992
WAug 9 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk—1011811133J. Jr—124118112
LAug 8 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk—1011981J. Jr—12911113
LAug 8 · 12:00O. Kolisnyk—4116131J. Jr—11811153
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113WAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
J. Jr10
WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113WAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371LAug 27 · 13:00J. Jr1.61114891M. Kratochvil2.2071111113LAug 27 · 12:00J. Jr2.203870E. Mares1.611111113WAug 27 · 11:30M. Kratochvil1.737990J. Jr2.001111113
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