TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13018144
Played Aug 27Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012911511––––
Jan Mecl Jr
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Jan Mecl Jr below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 58 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Jan Kanera at 54.0%
58 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 28–48 Jan Mecl Jr Jan Kanera has won 28 of their 76 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:37What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Jr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-48 in 76
Jr
Correct
gap of 20 in 76, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1739 vs Jr 1799
Jr
Correct
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 60% vs Jr 20%
Kanera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 60% vs Jr 30%
Kanera
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera -1 · Jr -4
Jr
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 2.20 / Jr 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Jr)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13018144
Kanera2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 116
Down 0–1, comes back27% 17 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Jr1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 138 of 235
Up 2–0, closes it94% 66 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it77% 99 of 128
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera1wins
AwayJr9wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera33.3%1 of 3
AwayJr100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Kanera6Jr4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S3Kanera4Jr6n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Kanera3Jr7n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S5Kanera1Jr5n = 6Jr took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraJrK − JBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match41.348.4−7.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraJrBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 586 vs 412 / 78447.1%52.6%276 / 586 vs 412 / 784Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.639.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrKanera 2.20/Jr 1.61
Hit
What we said
58.9%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 9 · 11:30J. Kanera—11119742J. Jr—981111113
LAug 8 · 15:00J. Kanera—91471132J. Jr—1112119113
LAug 7 · 14:00J. Kanera—481391J. Jr—111111113
LJul 30 · 14:00J. Kanera—617471J. Jr—111511113
LJul 12 · 08:00J. Kanera—31111992J. Jr—118411113
LJul 6 · 13:00J. Kanera—1161091J. Jr—71112113
WJul 6 · 10:00J. Kanera—119115163J. Jr—611911142
LJun 21 · 07:00J. Kanera—912121272J. Jr—11101410113
LJun 15 · 14:00J. Kanera—711101662J. Jr—1171214113
LMay 10 · 09:30J. Kanera—461151J. Jr—11117113
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292
J. Jr10
WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371LAug 27 · 13:00J. Jr1.61114891M. Kratochvil2.2071111113LAug 27 · 12:00J. Jr2.203870E. Mares1.611111113WAug 27 · 11:30M. Kratochvil1.737990J. Jr2.001111113
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