TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040950
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1167111171012119
Ales Barton
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Kanera at 62.9%
95 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 19–8 Ales Barton Ales Barton has won 8 of their 27 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kanera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-8 in 27
Kanera
Correct
gap of 11 in 27, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1703 vs Barton 1765
Barton
Wrong
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 20% vs Barton 80%
Barton
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 30% vs Barton 60%
Barton
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera -1 · Barton +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kanera) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.73 / Barton 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kanera)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040950
Kanera1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite51% won 62 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 39 of 55
Barton2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 24 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera7wins
AwayBarton3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKanera leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera80%4 of 5
AwayBarton40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera5Barton5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanera6Barton4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S3Kanera7Barton3n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S4Kanera5Barton3n = 8Kanera took 5 of 8
S5Kanera2Barton2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraBartonK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.2+3.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime277 / 591 vs 230 / 43546.9%52.9%277 / 591 vs 230 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraKanera 1.73/Barton 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 12:00J. Kanera—1310128102A. Barton—11121011123
LAug 17 · 16:30J. Kanera—94110A. Barton—1111133
WJul 30 · 17:29J. Kanera—1111143A. Barton—83120
WJul 30 · 16:30J. Kanera—71111113A. Barton—117551
LJul 25 · 15:30J. Kanera—71131152A. Barton—118118113
WJul 12 · 07:00J. Kanera—1112115113A. Barton—51451182
WJul 5 · 08:30J. Kanera—61311113A. Barton—1111661
WJun 21 · 09:29J. Kanera—111812113A. Barton—8201091
WJun 21 · 08:30J. Kanera—111210113A. Barton—7101231
WJun 20 · 08:59J. Kanera—711126113A. Barton—116101172
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113LAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121111113A. Barton2.50148861
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