TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040951
Played Aug 30Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1191169119111614
Martin Huk
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Huk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAles Barton above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 16-14
Point 107 set 5, 16-14 — our read held Martin Huk at 54.0%
107 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 36–26 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 26 of their 62 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-26 in 62
Barton
Correct
gap of 10 in 62, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1740 vs Huk 1770
Huk
Wrong
both rated, 29 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 80% vs Huk 60%
Barton
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 60% vs Huk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Huk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Huk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.67 / Huk 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Barton)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040951
Barton1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 87 of 155
Up 2–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it72% 58 of 81
Huk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 134 of 324
Down 0–1, comes back24% 40 of 168
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 86
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton5wins
AwayHuk5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton75%3 of 4
AwayHuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton4Huk6n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S2Barton5Huk5n = 10split evenly
S3Barton3Huk7n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S4Barton4Huk5n = 9Huk took 5 of 9
S5Barton3Huk0n = 3Barton took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonHukB − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.042.2−0.2per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonHukBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 432 vs 813 / 165952.8%49%228 / 432 vs 813 / 1659Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.67/Huk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton—16780M. Huk—1811113
WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton—111199163M. Huk—961111142
LAug 14 · 10:00A. Barton—6111471M. Huk—11616113
WAug 11 · 14:30A. Barton—91111113M. Huk—115591
LAug 6 · 03:28A. Barton—146791M. Huk—121111113
WAug 6 · 01:00A. Barton—149811163M. Huk—1211116142
LJul 31 · 10:00A. Barton—514771M. Huk—111211113
WJul 30 · 14:30A. Barton—11811113M. Huk—511671
WJul 25 · 16:30A. Barton—881111113M. Huk—11117732
LJul 19 · 24:30A. Barton—6137101M. Huk—111111123
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113LAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121111113A. Barton2.50148861
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113WAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113
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