TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036581
Played Aug 29Finished
Ales Barton
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181315117511115
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 56.3% is still 56.3%
Graded at full timeAles Barton to win
56.3%
56.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Barton above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 13-15
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 97 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Ales Barton at 56.3%
97 points played in total.
H2H Ales Barton 35–20 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 20 of their 55 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:52What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
35-20 in 55
Barton
Correct
gap of 15 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1779 vs Ruzicka 1761
Barton
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 50% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Ruzicka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Barton) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 1.53 / Ruzicka 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Barton)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036581
Barton1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 85 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it84% 36 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it71% 57 of 80
Ruzicka2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 153 of 381
Down 0–1, comes back22% 52 of 238
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton5wins
AwayRuzicka5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton57.1%4 of 7
AwayRuzicka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton7Ruzicka3n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Barton6Ruzicka4n = 10Barton took 6 of 10
S3Barton5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S4Barton5Ruzicka4n = 9Barton took 5 of 9
S5Barton0Ruzicka3n = 3Ruzicka took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonRuzickaB − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.738.1+1.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 432 vs 680 / 140353%48.5%229 / 432 vs 680 / 1403Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BartonBarton 1.53/Ruzicka 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Barton · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 17:30A. Barton—9111091J. Ruzicka—11512113
LJul 25 · 14:30A. Barton—118111182J. Ruzicka—511137113
WJul 18 · 23:00A. Barton—1113113J. Ruzicka—61170
LJul 15 · 22:30A. Barton—118741J. Ruzicka—51111113
LJul 8 · 15:00A. Barton—21111462J. Ruzicka—115311113
WJun 28 · 24:30A. Barton—11611113J. Ruzicka—811591
WJun 25 · 16:30A. Barton—11511113J. Ruzicka—911971
LJun 22 · 14:00A. Barton—12125872J. Ruzicka—10101111113
WJun 12 · 12:00A. Barton—101211113J. Ruzicka—1210271
WJun 5 · 11:30A. Barton—111111123J. Ruzicka—7913101
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113LAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121111113A. Barton2.50148861
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 20:58T. Postelt1.731111153J. Ruzicka2.0079130LAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571
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