TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040635
Played Aug 30Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116911511115116
Ales Barton
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:26 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 86 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 58.8%
86 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 20–11 Ales Barton Ales Barton has won 11 of their 31 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:26What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-11 in 31
Kolisnyk
Correct
gap of 9 in 31, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1784 vs Barton 1740
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Barton 100%
Barton
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Barton 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk -2 · Barton +5
Barton
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.57 / Barton 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Kolisnyk)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13040635
Kolisnyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 73 of 88
Barton2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 24 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back21% 8 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk7wins
AwayBarton3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk100%6 of 6
AwayBarton75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk6Barton4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S2Kolisnyk6Barton4n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Kolisnyk7Barton3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Barton4n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S5Kolisnyk3Barton1n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykBartonK − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.033.6+4.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 1124 vs 228 / 43250.4%52.8%567 / 1124 vs 228 / 432Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.57/Barton 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.1%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk—119511113A. Barton—61111562
LAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk—711391A. Barton—11511113
WAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk—121111113A. Barton—148861
WAug 14 · 13:02O. Kolisnyk—1111113A. Barton—8850
LAug 14 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk—941181A. Barton—11112113
LAug 8 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk—61131132A. Barton—113119113
WJul 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk—119113113A. Barton—51121192
WJul 13 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk—1111113A. Barton—2950
WJun 12 · 13:30O. Kolisnyk—118115113A. Barton—61181182
WJun 12 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk—1211123A. Barton—104100
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152WAug 22 · 17:00O. Kolisnyk1.85711391A. Barton1.8011511113LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113LAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121111113A. Barton2.50148861
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