TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13078091
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118117116––––
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:48 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 54 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 60.5%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 9–14 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Jan Kanera has won 9 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:48What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kolisnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-14 in 23
Kolisnyk
Wrong
gap of 5 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1753 vs Kolisnyk 1726
Kanera
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 60% vs Kolisnyk 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 50% vs Kolisnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera -1 · Kolisnyk -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 2.25 / Kolisnyk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13078091
Kanera2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 49 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Kolisnyk1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it96% 43 of 45
Up 1–0, closes it82% 70 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera4wins
AwayKolisnyk6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera80%4 of 5
AwayKolisnyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanera5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Kanera3Kolisnyk7n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S4Kanera3Kolisnyk2n = 5Kanera took 3 of 5
S5Kanera1Kolisnyk2n = 3Kolisnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraKolisnykKanera − KolisnykBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.8−1.7per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 583 vs 555 / 110047%50.5%274 / 583 vs 555 / 1100Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKanera 2.25/Kolisnyk 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera—1111113O. Kolisnyk—8760
LAug 30 · 09:30J. Kanera—913115122O. Kolisnyk—1111711143
LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera—811611132O. Kolisnyk—119119153
WAug 23 · 09:30J. Kanera—116411113O. Kolisnyk—81111972
LAug 23 · 08:30J. Kanera—1771091O. Kolisnyk—151112113
LAug 15 · 09:30J. Kanera—37110O. Kolisnyk—1111133
LAug 15 · 08:00J. Kanera—610120O. Kolisnyk—1112143
LAug 9 · 12:30J. Kanera—8780O. Kolisnyk—1111113
WAug 8 · 17:00J. Kanera—11115113O. Kolisnyk—971131
WAug 8 · 16:30J. Kanera—1111113O. Kolisnyk—5580
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113WAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
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