TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076713
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6119111210911––
Jan Kanera
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Jan Kanera below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 79 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Kanera at 54.0%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 49–29 Jan Kanera Jan Kanera has won 29 of their 78 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-29 in 78
Jr
Wrong
gap of 20 in 78, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1773 vs Kanera 1700
Jr
Wrong
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 20% vs Kanera 40%
Kanera
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 30% vs Kanera 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -1 · Kanera -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Jr) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jr form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 1.53 / Kanera 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Jr)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076713
Jr1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 129 of 222
Up 2–0, closes it94% 62 of 66
Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 122
Kanera2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog41% won 49 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr8wins
AwayKanera2wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJr leads 8–2, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJr85.7%6 of 7
AwayKanera33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr7Kanera3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S2Jr4Kanera6n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S3Jr6Kanera4n = 10Jr took 6 of 10
S4Jr7Kanera2n = 9Jr took 7 of 9
S5Jr4Kanera2n = 6Jr took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKaneraJ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match46.640.7+5.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKaneraBasisWin rate · lifetime406 / 778 vs 276 / 58452.2%47.3%406 / 778 vs 276 / 584Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JrJr 1.53/Kanera 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64%
Jr · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr—11581182J. Kanera—911114113
WAug 27 · 16:30J. Jr—1211113J. Kanera—10950
WAug 9 · 11:30J. Jr—981111113J. Kanera—11119742
WAug 8 · 15:00J. Jr—1112119113J. Kanera—91471132
WAug 7 · 14:00J. Jr—111111113J. Kanera—481391
WJul 30 · 14:00J. Jr—111511113J. Kanera—617471
WJul 12 · 08:00J. Jr—118411113J. Kanera—31111992
WJul 6 · 13:00J. Jr—71112113J. Kanera—1161091
LJul 6 · 10:00J. Jr—611911142J. Kanera—119115163
WJun 21 · 07:00J. Jr—11101410113J. Kanera—912121272
J. Jr10
WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113WAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371LAug 27 · 13:00J. Jr1.61114891M. Kratochvil2.2071111113LAug 27 · 12:00J. Jr2.203870E. Mares1.611111113WAug 27 · 11:30M. Kratochvil1.737990J. Jr2.001111113
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113LAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113
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