TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065416
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118611114411211
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:38 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeJan Kanera to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 2-11
Point 79 set 5, 2-11 — our read held Jan Kanera at 65.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 13–2 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 2 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kanera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-2 in 15
Kanera
Wrong
gap of 11 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1694 vs Svacha 1690
Kanera
Wrong
both rated, 4 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 40% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 30% vs Svacha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera -1 · Svacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Kanera) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.50 / Svacha 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Kanera)+3.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065416
Kanera1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite52% won 64 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Svacha2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 87 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back33% 24 of 72
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera8wins
AwaySvacha2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKanera leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera100%3 of 3
AwaySvacha28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera3Svacha7n = 10Svacha took 7 of 10
S2Kanera7Svacha3n = 10Kanera took 7 of 10
S3Kanera5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S4Kanera7Svacha1n = 8Kanera took 7 of 8
S5Kanera4Svacha1n = 5Kanera took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraSvachaK − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.137.9+5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 584 vs 399 / 78847.1%50.6%275 / 584 vs 399 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraKanera 1.50/Svacha 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 06:30J. Kanera—14111011113O. Svacha—16312972
WJun 21 · 06:00J. Kanera—71111113O. Svacha—115951
LJun 20 · 06:00J. Kanera—41180O. Svacha—1113113
WMay 31 · 09:00J. Kanera—81111113O. Svacha—118861
LMay 31 · 06:00J. Kanera—611101172O. Svacha—116129113
WMay 24 · 06:00J. Kanera—118811113O. Svacha—91111672
WMay 23 · 11:30J. Kanera—119711113O. Svacha—71111962
WDec 21 · 11:00J. Kanera—9111110113O. Svacha—11651282
WDec 18 · 16:30J. Kanera—71311113O. Svacha—1111931
WDec 17 · 15:00J. Kanera—1111113O. Svacha—7950
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
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