TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059551
Played Sep 2Finished
Ondrej Svacha
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811511––––
Pavel Gireth
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:59 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Svacha above · Pavel Gireth below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 54 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 54.7%
54 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Svacha 0–4 Pavel Gireth Ondrej Svacha has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:59What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Gireth
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svacha 1701 vs Gireth 1804
Gireth
Correct
both rated, 104 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svacha 40% vs Gireth 80%
Gireth
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svacha 40% vs Gireth 60%
Gireth
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Svacha +1 · Gireth +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvacha 3.25 / Gireth 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Gireth)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059551
Svacha3.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Gireth1.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSvacha0wins
AwayGireth4wins
2 of 4 to a deciderGireth leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvachan = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGireth100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svacha0Gireth4n = 4Gireth took 4 of 4
S2Svacha2Gireth2n = 4split evenly
S3Svacha1Gireth3n = 4Gireth took 3 of 4
S4Svacha2Gireth1n = 3Svacha took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away250%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSvachaGirethS − GBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match35.042.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvachaGirethBasisWin rate · lifetime399 / 786 vs 107 / 20050.8%53.5%399 / 786 vs 107 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethSvacha 3.25/Gireth 1.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gireth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LJan 28 · 18:30O. Svacha—81311182P. Gireth—1111118113
LJan 28 · 17:30O. Svacha—891161P. Gireth—11119113
LJun 9 · 17:30O. Svacha—71130P. Gireth—1113113
LJun 9 · 16:30O. Svacha—71171182P. Gireth—112116113
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142LAug 19 · 15:00P. Gireth1.28119141172M. Zahradka3.50411168113
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