TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13022432
Played Aug 26Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611711511––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 7–5 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Gireth)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.57 / Ruzicka 2.20
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Gireth)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13022432
Gireth1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Ruzicka2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 152 of 379
Down 0–1, comes back22% 53 of 239
Down 0–2, comes back5% 6 of 125
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGireth6wins
AwayRuzicka4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderGireth leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth80%4 of 5
AwayRuzicka60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth5Ruzicka5n = 10split evenly
S2Gireth7Ruzicka3n = 10Gireth took 7 of 10
S3Gireth6Ruzicka4n = 10Gireth took 6 of 10
S4Gireth3Ruzicka4n = 7Ruzicka took 4 of 7
S5Gireth2Ruzicka2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGirethRuzickaG − RBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.338.8+0.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime108 / 203 vs 681 / 140053.2%48.6%108 / 203 vs 681 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.57/Ruzicka 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth—11118113J. Ruzicka—871191
LFeb 20 · 18:00P. Gireth—1111118102J. Ruzicka—651311123
WFeb 20 · 15:30P. Gireth—311119113J. Ruzicka—11971152
WFeb 12 · 17:30P. Gireth—116511113J. Ruzicka—61111982
WOct 2 · 16:00P. Gireth—121493J. Ruzicka—101280
WJul 10 · 15:30P. Gireth—1111113J. Ruzicka—8830
WJun 26 · 16:30P. Gireth—41113143J. Ruzicka—11511121
LJun 13 · 16:30P. Gireth—7611121J. Ruzicka—11117143
LJun 3 · 16:00P. Gireth—48130J. Ruzicka—1111153
LMay 29 · 17:00P. Gireth—61111942J. Ruzicka—119811113
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142LAug 19 · 15:00P. Gireth1.28119141172M. Zahradka3.50411168113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171LAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191
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