TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059550
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118116119––––
Michal Jezek
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:44 and never touched — 60.3% is still 60.3%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
60.3%
60.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Michal Jezek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 56 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 60.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 6–3 Michal Jezek Michal Jezek has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:44What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Gireth
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gireth 1792 vs Jezek 1750
Gireth
Correct
both rated, 42 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gireth 60% vs Jezek 40%
Gireth
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gireth 50% vs Jezek 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gireth -1 · Jezek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.44 / Jezek 2.63
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Gireth)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059550
Gireth1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Jezek2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 52 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back39% 20 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGireth6wins
AwayJezek3wins
5 of 9 to a deciderGireth leads 6–3, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth100%4 of 4
AwayJezek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth4Jezek5n = 9Jezek took 5 of 9
S2Gireth5Jezek4n = 9Gireth took 5 of 9
S3Gireth7Jezek2n = 9Gireth took 7 of 9
S4Gireth6Jezek1n = 7Gireth took 6 of 7
S5Gireth2Jezek3n = 5Jezek took 3 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away333%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGirethJezekG − JBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.136.8+3.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethJezekBasisWin rate · lifetime106 / 199 vs 172 / 34253.3%50.3%106 / 199 vs 172 / 342Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.44/Jezek 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gireth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth—111111113M. Jezek—913981
WJan 22 · 18:03P. Gireth—117911113M. Jezek—91111642
WJan 22 · 17:30P. Gireth—61111113M. Jezek—116961
WJul 10 · 17:30P. Gireth—1111113M. Jezek—5190
WJul 10 · 14:00P. Gireth—1111113M. Jezek—7630
WJul 3 · 16:30P. Gireth—511118113M. Jezek—11791142
LJun 9 · 15:00P. Gireth—51151362M. Jezek—1161111113
LJun 3 · 17:00P. Gireth—39111142M. Jezek—111178113
LJun 3 · 14:00P. Gireth—38111162M. Jezek—111169113
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142LAug 19 · 15:00P. Gireth1.28119141172M. Zahradka3.50411168113
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek2.1011111215113V. Nohejl1.67139141352LAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981
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