TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059475
Played Sep 2Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1187116111210118
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 95 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 25–31 Jiri Ruzicka Michal Jezek has won 25 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Ruzicka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-31 in 56
Ruzicka
Wrong
gap of 6 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1738 vs Ruzicka 1748
Ruzicka
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 40% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 30% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek -1 · Ruzicka -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Ruzicka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 1.91 / Ruzicka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Ruzicka)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13059475
Jezek1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog49% won 52 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back39% 20 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 28
Ruzicka1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 186 of 324
Up 2–0, closes it94% 101 of 107
Up 1–0, closes it75% 134 of 179
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJezek4wins
AwayRuzicka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek42.9%3 of 7
AwayRuzicka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek7Ruzicka3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S2Jezek2Ruzicka8n = 10Ruzicka took 8 of 10
S3Jezek6Ruzicka4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S4Jezek6Ruzicka4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S5Jezek1Ruzicka4n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJezekRuzickaJ − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.642.0−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime172 / 343 vs 676 / 139450.2%48.5%172 / 343 vs 676 / 1394Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaJezek 1.91/Ruzicka 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jezek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 15:30M. Jezek—311113113J. Ruzicka—11591182
WJun 17 · 16:00M. Jezek—11811113J. Ruzicka—911661
LJun 12 · 17:00M. Jezek—1191191J. Ruzicka—13114113
LJun 12 · 16:00M. Jezek—11118442J. Ruzicka—391111113
WMay 12 · 16:00M. Jezek—111111113J. Ruzicka—813671
LMay 5 · 15:30M. Jezek—1137101J. Ruzicka—81111123
WApr 21 · 14:00M. Jezek—11211113J. Ruzicka—711891
LApr 14 · 14:30M. Jezek—103111362J. Ruzicka—1211811113
LApr 2 · 16:58M. Jezek—11281182J. Ruzicka—911117113
LApr 2 · 16:00M. Jezek—116101172J. Ruzicka—711126113
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek2.1011111215113V. Nohejl1.67139141352LAug 26 · 15:00M. Jezek2.0098100J. Ruzicka1.731111123
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571WAug 26 · 15:00M. Jezek2.0098100J. Ruzicka1.731111123
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