TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013691
Played Aug 26Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 61 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 59.5%
61 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 25–31 Jiri Ruzicka Michal Jezek has won 25 of their 56 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-31 in 56
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 6 in 56, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1693 vs Ruzicka 1789
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 20% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 20% vs Ruzicka 70%
Ruzicka
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek -2 · Ruzicka +4
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 2.00 / Ruzicka 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Ruzicka)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013691
Jezek2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog50% won 55 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back39% 21 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Ruzicka1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 180 of 318
Up 2–0, closes it93% 98 of 105
Up 1–0, closes it74% 131 of 176
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJezek4wins
AwayRuzicka6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek42.9%3 of 7
AwayRuzicka66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek7Ruzicka3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S2Jezek2Ruzicka8n = 10Ruzicka took 8 of 10
S3Jezek6Ruzicka4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S4Jezek6Ruzicka4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S5Jezek1Ruzicka4n = 5Ruzicka took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJezekRuzickaJ − RBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.642.0−2.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 349 vs 681 / 140049.6%48.6%173 / 349 vs 681 / 1400Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaJezek 2.00/Ruzicka 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 15:30M. Jezek—311113113J. Ruzicka—11591182
WJun 17 · 16:00M. Jezek—11811113J. Ruzicka—911661
LJun 12 · 17:00M. Jezek—1191191J. Ruzicka—13114113
LJun 12 · 16:00M. Jezek—11118442J. Ruzicka—391111113
WMay 12 · 16:00M. Jezek—111111113J. Ruzicka—813671
LMay 5 · 15:30M. Jezek—1137101J. Ruzicka—81111123
WApr 21 · 14:00M. Jezek—11211113J. Ruzicka—711891
LApr 14 · 14:30M. Jezek—103111362J. Ruzicka—1211811113
LApr 2 · 16:58M. Jezek—11281182J. Ruzicka—911117113
LApr 2 · 16:00M. Jezek—116101172J. Ruzicka—711126113
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek2.1011111215113V. Nohejl1.67139141352
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 3 · 12:59E. Mares1.4471311952J. Ruzicka2.631111711113LSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:30J. Ruzicka2.7561113092E. Mares1.401191111113LSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113LSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:30J. Ruzicka2.105480M. Zahradka1.671111113LSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772LSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082
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