TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013670
Played Aug 26Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111311912141513115
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:36 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Vaclav Nohejl 2005 below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 15-13
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 114 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 62.5%
114 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 2–1 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:36What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1750 vs Nohejl 1696
Jezek
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 20% vs Nohejl 40%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 20% vs Nohejl 60%
Nohejl
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek -3 · Nohejl -2
Jezek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nohejl form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 2.10 / Nohejl 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013670
Jezek2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog50% won 55 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back39% 21 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back16% 5 of 32
Nohejl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 60 of 86
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it84% 46 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJezek2wins
AwayNohejl1wins
2 of 3 to a deciderJezek leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek1Nohejl2n = 3Nohejl took 2 of 3
S2Jezek3Nohejl0n = 3Jezek took 3 of 3
S3Jezek2Nohejl1n = 3Jezek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJezekNohejlJ − NBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match45.341.0+4.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekNohejlBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 349 vs 162 / 29950.1%54.2%175 / 349 vs 162 / 299Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlJezek 2.10/Nohejl 1.67
Miss
What we said
56.6%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jezek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek—1111113V. Nohejl—5770
WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek—11111215113V. Nohejl—139141352
LAug 25 · 14:30M. Jezek—51111792V. Nohejl—119811113
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770LAug 26 · 15:00M. Jezek2.0098100J. Ruzicka1.731111123
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790LAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770
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