TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13059989
Played Sep 2Finished
Michal Jezek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1175117111614611
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:23 and never touched — 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Jezek to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Jezek above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 99 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Michal Jezek at 56.8%
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Jezek 16–10 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 10 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:23What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Jezek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-10 in 26
Jezek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jezek 1758 vs Svacha 1684
Jezek
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jezek 60% vs Svacha 40%
Jezek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jezek 40% vs Svacha 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jezek +1 · Svacha -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Jezek) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJezek 1.53 / Svacha 2.38
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Jezek)-2.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13059989
Jezek1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 20 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Svacha2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJezek7wins
AwaySvacha3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJezek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJezek100%5 of 5
AwaySvacha60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jezek5Svacha5n = 10split evenly
S2Jezek7Svacha3n = 10Jezek took 7 of 10
S3Jezek6Svacha4n = 10Jezek took 6 of 10
S4Jezek5Svacha2n = 7Jezek took 5 of 7
S5Jezek2Svacha1n = 3Jezek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJezekSvachaJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.335.4+3.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJezekSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime173 / 344 vs 399 / 78750.3%50.7%173 / 344 vs 399 / 787Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JezekJezek 1.53/Svacha 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.4%
Jezek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Svacha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 25 · 16:58M. Jezek—911761O. Svacha—11811113
LAug 25 · 15:30M. Jezek—911761O. Svacha—11811113
LJul 15 · 17:06M. Jezek—48121172O. Svacha—1111107113
WJul 15 · 14:00M. Jezek—911811113O. Svacha—11911542
WJun 30 · 15:30M. Jezek—1111113O. Svacha—9760
WDec 26 · 14:30M. Jezek—117611113O. Svacha—31111792
WDec 26 · 12:00M. Jezek—1111123O. Svacha—67100
WDec 19 · 20:00M. Jezek—111111113O. Svacha—713681
WDec 16 · 15:00M. Jezek—61111113O. Svacha—119691
WDec 10 · 17:30M. Jezek—1216113O. Svacha—101430
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461LSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek2.1011111215113V. Nohejl1.67139141352LAug 26 · 15:00M. Jezek2.0098100J. Ruzicka1.731111123
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
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