TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13065310
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1168111199111210
Michal Jezek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Jezek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Michal Jezek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 98 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Michal Jezek at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 16–14 Michal Jezek Michal Jezek has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:09What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kanera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-14 in 30
Kanera
Correct
gap of 2 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1696 vs Jezek 1792
Jezek
Wrong
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 40% vs Jezek 80%
Jezek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 30% vs Jezek 60%
Jezek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera +1 · Jezek +3
Jezek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kanera) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jezek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 1.57 / Jezek 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kanera)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13065310
Kanera1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 64 of 124
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it71% 40 of 56
Jezek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 54 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back39% 20 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back10% 3 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera3wins
AwayJezek7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJezek leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera40%2 of 5
AwayJezek80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera5Jezek5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanera6Jezek4n = 10Kanera took 6 of 10
S3Kanera5Jezek5n = 10split evenly
S4Kanera4Jezek5n = 9Jezek took 5 of 9
S5Kanera1Jezek5n = 6Jezek took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraJezekK − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.244.4−4.2per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraJezekBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 582 vs 176 / 34847.3%50.6%275 / 582 vs 176 / 348Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaneraKanera 1.57/Jezek 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Kanera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kanera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 2 · 17:00J. Kanera—211781M. Jezek—11611113
WJul 2 · 14:00J. Kanera—711115163M. Jezek—116811142
LJun 18 · 15:00J. Kanera—119111172M. Jezek—711139113
WJun 12 · 14:00J. Kanera—11314113M. Jezek—9111271
LJun 4 · 16:58J. Kanera—1151491M. Jezek—71116113
WJun 4 · 15:30J. Kanera—1311113M. Jezek—11990
LMay 21 · 16:59J. Kanera—11681172M. Jezek—311118113
LMay 21 · 15:30J. Kanera—61151182M. Jezek—115118113
LMay 6 · 16:30J. Kanera—513115102M. Jezek—1111911123
LMar 26 · 18:30J. Kanera—31111452M. Jezek—115911113
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera2.50811611132O. Kolisnyk1.50119119153
M. Jezek10
WSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:30M. Jezek1.33611119113V. Kolar3.2511481192WSep 2 · 17:00M. Jezek2.3811911113J. Ruzicka1.53611571LSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113WSep 2 · 15:00M. Jezek1.91117612113J. Ruzicka1.80811111082LSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690WAug 26 · 17:00M. Jezek2.001111113V. Nohejl1.735770WAug 26 · 16:30M. Jezek2.1011111215113V. Nohejl1.67139141352LAug 26 · 15:00M. Jezek2.0098100J. Ruzicka1.731111123
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