TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13041118
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Kanera
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111196111191315
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Kanera above · Oleksandr Kolisnyk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 104 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 54.6%
104 points played in total.
H2H Jan Kanera 8–14 Oleksandr Kolisnyk Jan Kanera has won 8 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Kolisnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-14 in 22
Kolisnyk
Correct
gap of 6 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kanera 1694 vs Kolisnyk 1784
Kolisnyk
Correct
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kanera 20% vs Kolisnyk 60%
Kolisnyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kanera 40% vs Kolisnyk 60%
Kolisnyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kanera +1 · Kolisnyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanera form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKanera 2.50 / Kolisnyk 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13041118
Kanera2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 49 of 119
Down 0–1, comes back27% 18 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back16% 6 of 37
Kolisnyk1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 91 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it96% 44 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it83% 73 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKanera3wins
AwayKolisnyk7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKanera60%3 of 5
AwayKolisnyk100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kanera5Kolisnyk5n = 10split evenly
S2Kanera4Kolisnyk6n = 10Kolisnyk took 6 of 10
S3Kanera2Kolisnyk8n = 10Kolisnyk took 8 of 10
S4Kanera4Kolisnyk2n = 6Kanera took 4 of 6
S5Kanera1Kolisnyk3n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaneraKolisnykKanera − KolisnykBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.2−3.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaneraKolisnykBasisWin rate · lifetime275 / 584 vs 567 / 112447.1%50.4%275 / 584 vs 567 / 1124Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKanera 2.50/Kolisnyk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kolisnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 30 · 09:30J. Kanera—913115122O. Kolisnyk—1111711143
LAug 30 · 07:00J. Kanera—811611132O. Kolisnyk—119119153
WAug 23 · 09:30J. Kanera—116411113O. Kolisnyk—81111972
LAug 23 · 08:30J. Kanera—1771091O. Kolisnyk—151112113
LAug 15 · 09:30J. Kanera—37110O. Kolisnyk—1111133
LAug 15 · 08:00J. Kanera—610120O. Kolisnyk—1112143
LAug 9 · 12:30J. Kanera—8780O. Kolisnyk—1111113
WAug 8 · 17:00J. Kanera—11115113O. Kolisnyk—971131
WAug 8 · 16:30J. Kanera—1111113O. Kolisnyk—5580
LAug 7 · 15:00J. Kanera—115914102O. Kolisnyk—9111112123
J. Kanera10
LSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450WSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LSep 3 · 17:28M. Jezek2.20111011113J. Kanera1.61612461WSep 3 · 16:00J. Kanera1.57118119123M. Jezek2.25611911102WSep 3 · 15:30V. Kolar2.00691381J. Kanera1.73111111113LSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113LAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113
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