TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13066139
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
91112101169111513
Ondrej Svacha
Away
2.95
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 74.5% is still 74.5%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
74.5%
74.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Ondrej Svacha below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 107 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 74.5%
107 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 6–0 Ondrej Svacha Ondrej Svacha has won 0 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (69%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-0 in 6
Gireth
Correct
gap of 6 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gireth 1836 vs Svacha 1690
Gireth
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gireth 80% vs Svacha 60%
Gireth
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gireth 70% vs Svacha 40%
Gireth
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gireth +3 · Svacha +1
Gireth
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svacha form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (34%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.30 / Svacha 2.95
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Gireth)+2.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13066139
Gireth1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 30 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it79% 19 of 24
Svacha2.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog50% won 85 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back32% 22 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGireth6wins
AwaySvacha0wins
3 of 6 to a deciderGireth leads 6–0, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth100%5 of 5
AwaySvachan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth5Svacha1n = 6Gireth took 5 of 6
S2Gireth4Svacha2n = 6Gireth took 4 of 6
S3Gireth5Svacha1n = 6Gireth took 5 of 6
S4Gireth1Svacha3n = 4Svacha took 3 of 4
S5Gireth3Svacha0n = 3Gireth took 3 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricGirethSvachaG − SBasisWins60+6in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match43.235.3+7.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethSvachaBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 203 vs 399 / 78854.2%50.6%110 / 203 vs 399 / 788Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.30/Svacha 2.95
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.8%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gireth won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth—912119153O. Svacha—1110611132
WSep 2 · 15:30P. Gireth—1111113O. Svacha—8850
WJan 28 · 18:30P. Gireth—1111118113O. Svacha—81311182
WJan 28 · 17:30P. Gireth—11119113O. Svacha—891161
WJun 9 · 17:30P. Gireth—1113113O. Svacha—71130
WJun 9 · 16:30P. Gireth—112116113O. Svacha—71171182
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142LAug 19 · 15:00P. Gireth1.28119141172M. Zahradka3.50411168113
O. Svacha10
WSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:30V. Vejvoda2.101111133O. Svacha1.6758110LSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113WSep 3 · 16:58O. Svacha1.401111113V. Kolar2.754370WSep 3 · 16:30O. Svacha1.57111011113V. Kolar2.25312341LSep 3 · 15:00O. Svacha2.2511980M. Jezek1.571311113WSep 3 · 14:00J. Kanera1.5011611422O. Svacha2.50811411113WSep 2 · 16:30M. Jezek1.5311571662O. Svacha2.387111114113LSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113
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