TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12455241
Played Aug 19Finished
Pavel Gireth
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1149111416118711
Michal Zahradka
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timePavel Gireth to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Gireth above · Michal Zahradka below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 102 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Pavel Gireth at 66.1%
102 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Gireth 7–2 Michal Zahradka Michal Zahradka has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Gireth
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Gireth
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gireth 1733 vs Zahradka 1790
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gireth 40% vs Zahradka 60%
Zahradka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gireth 40% vs Zahradka 80%
Zahradka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gireth -1 · Zahradka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Gireth)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zahradka form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGireth 1.28 / Zahradka 3.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Gireth)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #12455241
Gireth1.28
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 32 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it83% 19 of 23
Zahradka3.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 74 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back18% 16 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGireth7wins
AwayZahradka2wins
1 of 9 to a deciderGireth leads 7–2, and 1 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGireth100%5 of 5
AwayZahradka50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gireth5Zahradka4n = 9Gireth took 5 of 9
S2Gireth7Zahradka2n = 9Gireth took 7 of 9
S3Gireth7Zahradka2n = 9Gireth took 7 of 9
S4Gireth2Zahradka1n = 3Gireth took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricGirethZahradkaG − ZBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match34.626.4+8.2per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGirethZahradkaBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 196 vs 417 / 85753.1%48.7%104 / 196 vs 417 / 857Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethGireth 1.28/Zahradka 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 14 · 16:00P. Gireth—7770M. Zahradka—1111113
WFeb 26 · 16:00P. Gireth—61111113M. Zahradka—117541
WDec 11 · 17:00P. Gireth—1111113M. Zahradka—3460
LNov 13 · 17:00P. Gireth—912651M. Zahradka—111011113
WSep 4 · 14:00P. Gireth—1111113M. Zahradka—7470
WAug 21 · 15:30P. Gireth—1081111133M. Zahradka—121198112
WMar 20 · 18:00P. Gireth—1111113M. Zahradka—4860
WMar 20 · 17:30P. Gireth—1111113M. Zahradka—8330
WFeb 25 · 17:30P. Gireth—1112113M. Zahradka—71040
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 15:30V. Nohejl2.20681271P. Gireth1.61111110113WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102
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