TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013639
Played Aug 26Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6118111210711––
Pavel Gireth
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:27 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Pavel Gireth below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 76 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 56.7%
76 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:27What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Gireth
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1776 vs Gireth 1761
Nohejl
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Gireth 40%
Nohejl
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Gireth 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl -1 · Gireth +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Gireth) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gireth form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 2.20 / Gireth 1.61
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Gireth)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13013639
Nohejl2.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 23 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back32% 8 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 12
Gireth1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it78% 18 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlGirethBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 296 vs 106 / 20054.7%53%162 / 296 vs 106 / 200Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GirethNohejl 2.20/Gireth 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Gireth · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gireth won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971
P. Gireth10
WSep 2 · 17:30P. Gireth1.30912119153O. Svacha2.951110611132WSep 2 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111116113J. Ruzicka2.20681171WSep 2 · 15:30O. Svacha3.258850P. Gireth1.331111113WSep 2 · 14:00P. Gireth1.441111113M. Jezek2.638690LAug 26 · 17:30P. Gireth1.576750J. Ruzicka2.201111113WAug 26 · 16:00P. Gireth1.6111118113J. Ruzicka2.20871191WAug 26 · 14:00P. Gireth1.44111111113M. Jezek2.63913981LAug 19 · 17:08P. Gireth3.0019111172A. Barton1.36111187113WAug 19 · 16:30P. Gireth1.571111119113A. Barton2.2513761142LAug 19 · 15:00P. Gireth1.28119141172M. Zahradka3.50411168113
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