TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077468
Played Sep 5Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412114118––––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Nohejl 2005 to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 60 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vaclav Nohejl 2005 at 54.0%
60 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 4–8 Sebastian Kasnik Vaclav Nohejl 2005 has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Nohejl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-8 in 12
Kasnik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1759 vs Kasnik 1646
Nohejl
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Kasnik 40%
Nohejl
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 70% vs Kasnik 40%
Nohejl
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +1 · Kasnik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.61 / Kasnik 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.1pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077468
Nohejl1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 59 of 89
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 44 of 55
Kasnik2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 125 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 93
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl4wins
AwayKasnik6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKasnik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejln = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKasnik75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl2Kasnik8n = 10Kasnik took 8 of 10
S2Nohejl4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S3Nohejl6Kasnik4n = 10Nohejl took 6 of 10
S4Nohejl4Kasnik4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlKasnikN − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.938.8−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 309 vs 477 / 100354.7%47.6%169 / 309 vs 477 / 1003Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.61/Kasnik 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Nohejl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl—11611113S. Kasnik—911981
WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl—61111113S. Kasnik—111981
WApr 23 · 16:30V. Nohejl—12911113S. Kasnik—1011841
WMar 15 · 17:59V. Nohejl—811117113S. Kasnik—11771192
LMar 15 · 17:00V. Nohejl—9880S. Kasnik—1111113
LDec 17 · 21:00V. Nohejl—711791S. Kasnik—11911113
LDec 17 · 15:00V. Nohejl—671191S. Kasnik—11117113
LDec 16 · 10:30V. Nohejl—891161S. Kasnik—11114113
LDec 16 · 08:30V. Nohejl—6111211152S. Kasnik—117148173
LDec 15 · 19:00V. Nohejl—11530S. Kasnik—1311113
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl1.671111611132V. Vejvoda2.10136118153WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101WSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda1.579950S. Kasnik2.251111113LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981LSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981
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