TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076765
Played Sep 5Finished
Viktor Vejvoda
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911911511––––
Sebastian Kasnik
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Vejvoda above · Sebastian Kasnik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 56 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 64.7%
56 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Vejvoda 19–18 Sebastian Kasnik Sebastian Kasnik has won 18 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vejvoda
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-18 in 37
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vejvoda 1808 vs Kasnik 1616
Vejvoda
Wrong
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vejvoda 80% vs Kasnik 40%
Vejvoda
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vejvoda 90% vs Kasnik 30%
Vejvoda
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vejvoda +3 · Kasnik -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vejvoda) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVejvoda 1.57 / Kasnik 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vejvoda)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076765
Vejvoda1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 180 of 295
Up 2–0, closes it93% 88 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it83% 120 of 145
Kasnik2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 122 of 308
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back9% 8 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVejvoda5wins
AwayKasnik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVejvoda75%3 of 4
AwayKasnik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vejvoda4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S2Vejvoda4Kasnik6n = 10Kasnik took 6 of 10
S3Vejvoda8Kasnik2n = 10Vejvoda took 8 of 10
S4Vejvoda3Kasnik3n = 6split evenly
S5Vejvoda2Kasnik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVejvodaKasnikV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.8+1.9per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVejvodaKasnikBasisWin rate · lifetime466 / 887 vs 477 / 100552.5%47.5%466 / 887 vs 477 / 1005Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VejvodaVejvoda 1.57/Kasnik 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Vejvoda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kasnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 07:00V. Vejvoda—9950S. Kasnik—1111113
WSep 4 · 13:30V. Vejvoda—1111113S. Kasnik—8750
LSep 4 · 11:30V. Vejvoda—1061181S. Kasnik—12117113
WSep 2 · 03:30V. Vejvoda—1111113S. Kasnik—8590
WSep 1 · 23:30V. Vejvoda—681211113S. Kasnik—111110892
LAug 27 · 12:59V. Vejvoda—111091192S. Kasnik—612119113
WAug 27 · 12:00V. Vejvoda—1111113S. Kasnik—6690
LAug 27 · 08:30V. Vejvoda—87111252S. Kasnik—1111710113
WAug 24 · 08:59V. Vejvoda—9111111113S. Kasnik—11471392
LAug 24 · 07:00V. Vejvoda—1091161S. Kasnik—12115113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
S. Kasnik10
LSep 5 · 09:00O. Svacha1.44111110123S. Kasnik2.637312101LSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480LSep 5 · 06:30S. Kasnik2.106190O. Svacha1.671111113LSep 4 · 13:30S. Kasnik2.108750V. Vejvoda1.651111113LSep 4 · 12:30P. Saleny1.40811611113S. Kasnik2.7511711872WSep 4 · 11:30S. Kasnik2.2012117113V. Vejvoda1.611061181WSep 4 · 10:30R. Wagner1.571311510102S. Kasnik2.251191112123LSep 4 · 08:58S. Kasnik2.25117981R. Wagner1.5781111113LSep 4 · 08:00S. Kasnik2.75111051322P. Saleny1.405121111113LSep 4 · 07:30R. Wagner1.6111711113S. Kasnik2.20811751
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.