TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13076700
Played Sep 5Finished
Vaclav Nohejl 2005
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11131166111181315
Viktor Vejvoda
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:49 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeViktor Vejvoda to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Nohejl 2005 above · Viktor Vejvoda below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 13-15
Point 105 set 5, 13-15 — our read held Viktor Vejvoda at 55.2%
105 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Nohejl 2005 9–9 Viktor Vejvoda Dead even across their 18 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:49What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Nohejl
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-9 in 18
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nohejl 1776 vs Vejvoda 1808
Vejvoda
Correct
both rated, 33 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nohejl 60% vs Vejvoda 80%
Vejvoda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nohejl 60% vs Vejvoda 90%
Vejvoda
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Nohejl +2 · Vejvoda +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Nohejl) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vejvoda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNohejl 1.67 / Vejvoda 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Nohejl)+0.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13076700
Nohejl1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 62 of 93
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Vejvoda2.10
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog43% won 102 of 239
Down 0–1, comes back22% 29 of 134
Down 0–2, comes back11% 9 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeNohejl5wins
AwayVejvoda5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNohejl75%3 of 4
AwayVejvoda66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nohejl4Vejvoda6n = 10Vejvoda took 6 of 10
S2Nohejl7Vejvoda3n = 10Nohejl took 7 of 10
S3Nohejl5Vejvoda5n = 10split evenly
S4Nohejl8Vejvoda1n = 9Nohejl took 8 of 9
S5Nohejl1Vejvoda5n = 6Vejvoda took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricNohejlVejvodaN − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.740.7+5.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNohejlVejvodaBasisWin rate · lifetime171 / 311 vs 466 / 88755%52.5%171 / 311 vs 466 / 887Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NohejlNohejl 1.67/Vejvoda 2.10
Miss
What we said
56.6%
Nohejl · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vejvoda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl—11117113V. Vejvoda—571171
LSep 5 · 06:00V. Nohejl—1111611132V. Vejvoda—136118153
LJul 7 · 19:30V. Nohejl—89111192V. Vejvoda—111196113
WJun 22 · 14:00V. Nohejl—71111113V. Vejvoda—114971
LMay 28 · 14:00V. Nohejl—1113911102V. Vejvoda—1311116123
LMay 6 · 15:30V. Nohejl—81181192V. Vejvoda—119117113
LMay 1 · 17:30V. Nohejl—129111082V. Vejvoda—1011512113
WMay 1 · 16:00V. Nohejl—811911113V. Vejvoda—11411372
WJan 18 · 08:00V. Nohejl—1111123V. Vejvoda—79100
WDec 28 · 17:00V. Nohejl—11911113V. Vejvoda—611871
V. Nohejl10
WSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171WSep 5 · 08:00V. Nohejl1.611411113S. Kasnik2.2012480WSep 5 · 07:30O. Svacha3.0011871192V. Nohejl1.36611115113WSep 3 · 16:59V. Nohejl1.8311611113S. Kasnik1.83911981WSep 3 · 16:00V. Nohejl1.9161111113S. Kasnik1.80111981LSep 3 · 15:30J. Simecek1.8011612113V. Nohejl1.913111091LSep 3 · 14:00V. Nohejl1.6115661172A. Brazda2.201311112113WSep 1 · 21:30V. Nohejl1.401111113O. Svacha2.753790WSep 1 · 20:00V. Nohejl1.3391111113M. Sychra3.25119971WSep 1 · 19:30V. Kolar2.10117981V. Nohejl1.6771111113
V. Vejvoda10
WSep 7 · 02:58V. Vejvoda1.67118118123J. Tazler2.10911511102LSep 7 · 02:30J. Louda1.731412113V. Vejvoda2.00121080WSep 7 · 01:00K. Schopf2.7534100V. Vejvoda1.401111123LSep 6 · 23:30V. Vejvoda1.6711116862M. Sychra2.10761111113WSep 6 · 22:00V. Vejvoda1.731212123J. Tazler2.001010100LSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:00V. Vejvoda2.251111133M. Wagner1.5773110LSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:00V. Vejvoda1.5711127113P. Saleny2.255101151LSep 5 · 09:30V. Nohejl1.7311117113V. Vejvoda2.00571171
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