TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12476406
Played Aug 22Finished
Oleksandr Kolisnyk
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711115311911––
Ales Barton
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:55 and never touched — 59.9% is still 59.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Kolisnyk to win
59.9%
59.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOleksandr Kolisnyk above · Ales Barton below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 68 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Oleksandr Kolisnyk at 59.9%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolisnyk 19–10 Ales Barton Ales Barton has won 10 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:55What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Barton
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-10 in 29
Kolisnyk
Wrong
gap of 9 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolisnyk 1810 vs Barton 1691
Kolisnyk
Wrong
both rated, 119 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolisnyk 40% vs Barton 20%
Kolisnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolisnyk 60% vs Barton 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolisnyk -1 · Barton -3
Barton
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kolisnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolisnyk 1.85 / Barton 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kolisnyk)+4.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12476406
Kolisnyk1.85
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 85 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back26% 24 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 48
Barton1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 87 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it84% 37 of 44
Up 1–0, closes it72% 59 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolisnyk8wins
AwayBarton2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKolisnyk leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolisnyk100%7 of 7
AwayBarton66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolisnyk7Barton3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S2Kolisnyk7Barton3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S3Kolisnyk7Barton3n = 10Kolisnyk took 7 of 10
S4Kolisnyk3Barton4n = 7Barton took 4 of 7
S5Kolisnyk3Barton1n = 4Kolisnyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolisnykBartonK − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.733.5+5.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolisnykBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime575 / 1130 vs 229 / 43550.9%52.6%575 / 1130 vs 229 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KolisnykKolisnyk 1.85/Barton 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kolisnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Barton won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk—121111113A. Barton—148861
WAug 14 · 13:02O. Kolisnyk—1111113A. Barton—8850
LAug 14 · 11:00O. Kolisnyk—941181A. Barton—11112113
LAug 8 · 10:30O. Kolisnyk—61131132A. Barton—113119113
WJul 13 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk—119113113A. Barton—51121192
WJul 13 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk—1111113A. Barton—2950
WJun 12 · 13:30O. Kolisnyk—118115113A. Barton—61181182
WJun 12 · 11:30O. Kolisnyk—1211123A. Barton—104100
WJun 4 · 14:00O. Kolisnyk—1111106113A. Barton—83121172
WDec 5 · 14:30O. Kolisnyk—11112113A. Barton—791181
O. Kolisnyk10
WSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123LSep 6 · 08:30T. Postelt1.6111129113O. Kolisnyk2.205101181LSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:30J. Vales1.3661111113O. Kolisnyk3.00118661LSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181LSep 5 · 20:30J. Kanera2.251111113O. Kolisnyk1.578760LSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182WAug 30 · 09:30O. Kolisnyk1.531111711143J. Kanera2.38913115122WAug 30 · 08:00M. Huk1.9161111982O. Kolisnyk1.80118711113
A. Barton10
LAug 30 · 08:59A. Barton1.8016780M. Huk1.911811113LAug 30 · 08:30J. Kanera1.731171110113A. Barton2.0061171292WAug 30 · 07:30A. Barton1.67111199163M. Huk2.10961111142LAug 30 · 06:30O. Kolisnyk1.57119511113A. Barton2.2561111562WAug 29 · 13:30A. Barton1.5761111113J. Ruzicka2.25118571WAug 29 · 12:00A. Barton2.1011121011123J. Kanera1.671310128102WAug 29 · 11:30R. Urbaniec2.635880A. Barton1.441111113WAug 29 · 10:00A. Barton1.531113115113J. Ruzicka2.3881571152LAug 22 · 16:00A. Barton2.636560F. Wolf1.441111113LAug 22 · 15:30O. Kolisnyk1.50121111113A. Barton2.50148861
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