TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13077950
Played Sep 5Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191186111412––
Josef Medek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Josef Medek below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-10
Point 77 set 4, 11-10 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 54.0%
77 points drawn · the score is 5 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Jan Zajicek 92–134 Josef Medek Jan Zajicek has won 92 of their 226 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:17What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Medek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
92-134 in 226
Medek
Wrong
gap of 42 in 226, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1828 vs Medek 2000
Medek
Wrong
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 40% vs Medek 80%
Medek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 30% vs Medek 60%
Medek
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +1 · Medek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Medek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.83 / Medek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Medek)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13077950
Zajicek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Medek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek2wins
AwayMedek8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMedek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek40%2 of 5
AwayMedek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek5Medek5n = 10split evenly
S2Zajicek3Medek7n = 10Medek took 7 of 10
S3Zajicek2Medek8n = 10Medek took 8 of 10
S4Zajicek1Medek4n = 5Medek took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekMedekZ − MBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match30.237.0−6.8per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekMedekBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 656 vs 302 / 52253.1%57.9%348 / 656 vs 302 / 522Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MedekZajicek 1.83/Medek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Medek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Zajicek—5690J. Medek—1111113
WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek—11116143J. Medek—9811121
LSep 5 · 12:30J. Zajicek—9970J. Medek—1111113
LSep 4 · 20:30J. Zajicek—117671J. Medek—61111113
LSep 2 · 18:00J. Zajicek—1191091J. Medek—51112113
LAug 26 · 21:00J. Zajicek—1111104112J. Medek—981211133
LAug 26 · 18:30J. Zajicek—5850J. Medek—1111113
LAug 25 · 18:30J. Zajicek—431161J. Medek—11118113
LAug 25 · 14:00J. Zajicek—9850J. Medek—1111113
WAug 11 · 21:30J. Zajicek—1112113J. Medek—81080
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671LSep 4 · 19:30J. Zajicek1.7385130E. Mares2.001111153
J. Medek10
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113WSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113WSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113WSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671LSep 4 · 19:00J. Medek1.4076111162J. Vales2.75111145113
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