TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036579
Played Aug 29Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1164119111113––
Jan Cernik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:53 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeJan Zajicek to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 76 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jan Zajicek at 57.5%
76 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 32–9 Jan Cernik Jan Cernik has won 9 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:53What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zajicek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-9 in 41
Zajicek
Wrong
gap of 23 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1837 vs Cernik 2083
Cernik
Correct
both rated, 247 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 40% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 30% vs Cernik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek -2 · Cernik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.40 / Cernik 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Zajicek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13036579
Zajicek1.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 100 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it86% 76 of 88
Cernik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek8wins
AwayCernik2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek85.7%6 of 7
AwayCernik33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek7Cernik3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Zajicek6Cernik4n = 10Zajicek took 6 of 10
S3Zajicek4Cernik6n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S4Zajicek3Cernik4n = 7Cernik took 4 of 7
S5Zajicek5Cernik0n = 5Zajicek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekCernikZ − CBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.137.5+4.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 652 vs 193 / 32452.5%59.6%342 / 652 vs 193 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.40/Cernik 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.5%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek—1149111J. Cernik—61111133
WAug 29 · 06:30J. Zajicek—118713113J. Cernik—611111182
WAug 25 · 19:00J. Zajicek—1611113J. Cernik—14740
WAug 25 · 15:00J. Zajicek—1111810153J. Cernik—651112132
WJul 10 · 20:00J. Zajicek—151155113J. Cernik—138111162
WJun 21 · 17:00J. Zajicek—41111113J. Cernik—117471
WJun 21 · 15:00J. Zajicek—1111143J. Cernik—76120
WJun 21 · 12:30J. Zajicek—118911113J. Cernik—61111772
WJun 6 · 10:00J. Zajicek—1111116113J. Cernik—13381122
LMay 17 · 16:59J. Zajicek—7790J. Cernik—1111113
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113WAug 28 · 11:00E. Mares2.10911481J. Cernik1.6711711113
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