TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035859
Played Aug 29Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210114711116––
Lukas Boruvka
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Lukas Boruvka below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 72 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 62.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 8–7 Lukas Boruvka Lukas Boruvka has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:20What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Boruvka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 2046 vs Boruvka 2101
Boruvka
Wrong
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 80% vs Boruvka 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 60% vs Boruvka 80%
Boruvka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik +3 · Boruvka +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.75 / Boruvka 1.40
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Boruvka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035859
Cernik2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Boruvka1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite84% won 56 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik4wins
AwayBoruvka6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBoruvka leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik57.1%4 of 7
AwayBoruvka100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik7Boruvka3n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S2Cernik7Boruvka3n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S3Cernik2Boruvka8n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S4Cernik3Boruvka7n = 10Boruvka took 7 of 10
S5Cernik1Boruvka2n = 3Boruvka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikBoruvkaC − BBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.741.9−4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikBoruvkaBasisWin rate · lifetime192 / 323 vs 117 / 16859.4%69.6%192 / 323 vs 117 / 168Avg sets wonper match2.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaCernik 2.75/Boruvka 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.3%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik—12117113L. Boruvka—1041161
LAug 29 · 08:00J. Cernik—119941L. Boruvka—61111113
LJun 21 · 16:30J. Cernik—511461L. Boruvka—11711113
LJun 21 · 11:30J. Cernik—9151221L. Boruvka—111314113
LJun 6 · 13:30J. Cernik—12117282L. Boruvka—1071111113
WJun 6 · 12:00J. Cernik—111011113L. Boruvka—812471
LMay 10 · 15:30J. Cernik—12117062L. Boruvka—1071111113
WMay 9 · 15:30J. Cernik—119126113L. Boruvka—711101172
WApr 25 · 21:30J. Cernik—11125143L. Boruvka—91011121
LApr 25 · 18:30J. Cernik—611751L. Boruvka—11811113
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113WAug 28 · 11:00E. Mares2.10911481J. Cernik1.6711711113
L. Boruvka10
LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961WAug 26 · 21:30E. Mares2.75116551L. Boruvka1.4081111113WAug 26 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.281111143J. Medek3.5052120WAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
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