TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13036267
Played Aug 29Finished
Michal Kratochvil
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611811––––
Lukas Boruvka
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:50 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Kratochvil above · Lukas Boruvka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 61.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Kratochvil 0–2 Lukas Boruvka Michal Kratochvil has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:50What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kratochvil 1766 vs Boruvka 2060
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 294 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kratochvil 40% vs Boruvka 80%
Boruvka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kratochvil 30% vs Boruvka 70%
Boruvka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kratochvil -1 · Boruvka +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kratochvil form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKratochvil 3.40 / Boruvka 1.30
Signal prob.25% / 75%
Edge (Boruvka)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13036267
Kratochvil3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog46% won 101 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back32% 42 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Boruvka1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite84% won 56 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKratochvil0wins
AwayBoruvka2wins
Boruvka leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKratochvilBoruvkaK − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.537.0−8.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKratochvilBoruvkaBasisWin rate · lifetime276 / 570 vs 117 / 16948.4%69.2%276 / 570 vs 117 / 169Avg sets wonper match2.02.5per matchAvg pointsper match37.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaKratochvil 3.40/Boruvka 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil—8680L. Boruvka—1111113
LAug 29 · 06:00M. Kratochvil—911961L. Boruvka—11811113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113WAug 30 · 08:00M. Kratochvil3.00611718113E. Mares1.36119111662
L. Boruvka10
LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961WAug 26 · 21:30E. Mares2.75116551L. Boruvka1.4081111113WAug 26 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.281111143J. Medek3.5052120WAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
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