TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035884
Played Aug 29Finished
Lukas Boruvka
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711311131012117
Jan Zajicek
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:20 and never touched — 84.9% is still 84.9%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
84.9%
84.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Boruvka above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 96 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 84.9%
96 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Boruvka 51–9 Jan Zajicek Jan Zajicek has won 9 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-9 in 60
Boruvka
Correct
gap of 42 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boruvka 2118 vs Zajicek 1853
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 265 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boruvka 80% vs Zajicek 40%
Boruvka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boruvka 70% vs Zajicek 30%
Boruvka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Boruvka +3 · Zajicek -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 85% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoruvka 1.17 / Zajicek 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Boruvka)+6.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035884
Boruvka1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite84% won 56 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Zajicek4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 44 of 111
Down 0–1, comes back23% 14 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoruvka9wins
AwayZajicek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBoruvka leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoruvka100%8 of 8
AwayZajicekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boruvka8Zajicek2n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S2Boruvka7Zajicek3n = 10Boruvka took 7 of 10
S3Boruvka9Zajicek1n = 10Boruvka took 9 of 10
S4Boruvka4Zajicek2n = 6Boruvka took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoruvkaZajicekB − ZBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.932.2+6.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoruvkaZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime116 / 166 vs 344 / 65369.9%52.7%116 / 166 vs 344 / 653Avg sets wonper match2.52.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaBoruvka 1.17/Zajicek 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Zajicek—8790
LAug 29 · 07:30L. Boruvka—111112582J. Zajicek—1381011113
WAug 26 · 19:30L. Boruvka—71111113J. Zajicek—117581
WAug 2 · 16:00L. Boruvka—117117113J. Zajicek—71151122
WJul 31 · 18:00L. Boruvka—11117113J. Zajicek—751191
WJun 21 · 14:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Zajicek—8980
WJun 21 · 13:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Zajicek—6680
WJun 21 · 10:00L. Boruvka—1411113J. Zajicek—12850
WJun 6 · 11:00L. Boruvka—12111123J. Zajicek—10115101
WJun 6 · 09:30L. Boruvka—111111113J. Zajicek—913991
L. Boruvka10
LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961WAug 26 · 21:30E. Mares2.75116551L. Boruvka1.4081111113WAug 26 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.281111143J. Medek3.5052120WAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582LAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
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