TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13035711
Played Aug 29Finished
Lukas Boruvka
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611119119114––
Jan Cernik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:42 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Boruvka above · Jan Cernik below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 72 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 62.5%
72 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Boruvka 7–9 Jan Cernik Lukas Boruvka has won 7 of their 16 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:42What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-9 in 16
Cernik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boruvka 2060 vs Cernik 2083
Cernik
Wrong
both rated, 23 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boruvka 80% vs Cernik 60%
Boruvka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boruvka 60% vs Cernik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boruvka -1 · Cernik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoruvka 1.40 / Cernik 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Boruvka)-0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13035711
Boruvka1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite84% won 56 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it95% 36 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Cernik2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 23 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back26% 8 of 31
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoruvka5wins
AwayCernik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoruvka66.7%2 of 3
AwayCernik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boruvka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S2Boruvka3Cernik7n = 10Cernik took 7 of 10
S3Boruvka8Cernik2n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S4Boruvka6Cernik4n = 10Boruvka took 6 of 10
S5Boruvka2Cernik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoruvkaCernikB − CBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.139.9+2.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoruvkaCernikBasisWin rate · lifetime117 / 169 vs 193 / 32469.2%59.6%117 / 169 vs 193 / 324Avg sets wonper match2.52.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaBoruvka 1.40/Cernik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.9%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 29 · 13:30L. Boruvka—11511792J. Cernik—911911113
LAug 29 · 12:30L. Boruvka—1041161J. Cernik—12117113
WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka—61111113J. Cernik—119941
WJun 21 · 16:30L. Boruvka—11711113J. Cernik—511461
WJun 21 · 11:30L. Boruvka—111314113J. Cernik—9151221
WJun 6 · 13:30L. Boruvka—1071111113J. Cernik—12117282
LJun 6 · 12:00L. Boruvka—812471J. Cernik—111011113
WMay 10 · 15:30L. Boruvka—1071111113J. Cernik—12117062
LMay 9 · 15:30L. Boruvka—711101172J. Cernik—119126113
LApr 25 · 21:30L. Boruvka—91011121J. Cernik—11125143
L. Boruvka10
LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961WAug 26 · 21:30E. Mares2.75116551L. Boruvka1.4081111113WAug 26 · 20:00L. Boruvka1.281111143J. Medek3.5052120WAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113WAug 28 · 11:00E. Mares2.10911481J. Cernik1.6711711113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.