TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13013783
Played Aug 26Finished
Lukas Boruvka
Home
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1151121412––––
Josef Medek
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeLukas Boruvka to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Boruvka above · Josef Medek below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 55 set 3, 14-12 — our read held Lukas Boruvka at 58.8%
55 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Boruvka 49–20 Josef Medek Josef Medek has won 20 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Boruvka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
49-20 in 69
Boruvka
Correct
gap of 29 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Boruvka 2093 vs Medek 1940
Boruvka
Correct
both rated, 153 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Boruvka 40% vs Medek 60%
Medek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Boruvka 60% vs Medek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Boruvka +1 · Medek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Boruvka) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Medek form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBoruvka 1.28 / Medek 3.50
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Boruvka)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13013783
Boruvka1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite84% won 53 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it92% 43 of 47
Medek3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog22% won 8 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBoruvka10wins
AwayMedek0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBoruvka leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBoruvka100%10 of 10
AwayMedekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Boruvka10Medek0n = 10Boruvka took 10 of 10
S2Boruvka10Medek0n = 10Boruvka took 10 of 10
S3Boruvka8Medek2n = 10Boruvka took 8 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home880%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBoruvkaMedekB − MBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match36.021.8+14.2per matchSweeps80+83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBoruvkaMedekBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 159 vs 298 / 51469.2%58%110 / 159 vs 298 / 514Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BoruvkaBoruvka 1.28/Medek 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.7%
Boruvka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Boruvka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 2 · 14:00L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—8820
WJul 31 · 19:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—9590
WJun 21 · 17:30L. Boruvka—111378113J. Medek—511111162
WJun 21 · 15:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—3350
WJun 21 · 12:00L. Boruvka—11117113J. Medek—831151
WJun 6 · 10:30L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—5170
WJun 6 · 08:00L. Boruvka—1511123J. Medek—132100
WMay 24 · 14:00L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—7850
WMay 21 · 20:00L. Boruvka—1211113J. Medek—10360
WMay 10 · 17:29L. Boruvka—1111113J. Medek—6930
L. Boruvka10
LAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792LAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:30L. Boruvka1.1711111110113J. Zajicek4.5073131272WAug 29 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.408680L. Boruvka1.301111113WAug 29 · 09:30L. Boruvka1.171111113J. Zajicek4.508790WAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941LAug 29 · 07:30J. Zajicek5.001381011113L. Boruvka1.14111112582WAug 29 · 06:00L. Boruvka1.3011811113M. Kratochvil3.40911961WAug 26 · 21:30E. Mares2.75116551L. Boruvka1.4081111113WAug 26 · 19:30J. Zajicek4.50117581L. Boruvka1.1771111113
J. Medek10
WSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690WSep 5 · 16:30J. Vales2.507590J. Medek1.501111113WSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750LSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:30J. Vales2.20591181J. Medek1.6011116113WSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:00J. Medek1.4461290J. Vales2.631114113WSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113WSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671
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