TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13040744
Played Aug 29Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171191210––––
Michal Kratochvil
Away
2.65
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Michal Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 60 set 3, 12-10
60 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 8–6 Michal Kratochvil Michal Kratochvil has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Cernik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cernik form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 1.40 / Kratochvil 2.65
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Cernik)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13040744
Cernik1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 84 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it96% 48 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Kratochvil2.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 101 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back32% 42 of 130
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik7wins
AwayKratochvil3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik100%3 of 3
AwayKratochvil50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik3Kratochvil6n = 9Kratochvil took 6 of 9
S2Cernik7Kratochvil2n = 9Cernik took 7 of 9
S3Cernik5Kratochvil4n = 9Cernik took 5 of 9
S4Cernik4Kratochvil0n = 4Cernik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikKratochvilC − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match35.230.0+5.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime188 / 319 vs 275 / 56558.9%48.7%188 / 319 vs 275 / 565Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CernikCernik 1.40/Kratochvil 2.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69%
Cernik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cernik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 29 · 07:00J. Cernik—1111113M. Kratochvil—8780
WAug 28 · 12:00J. Cernik—1111113M. Kratochvil—5670
LAug 28 · 08:00J. Cernik—8950M. Kratochvil—1111113
WAug 16 · 10:00J. Cernik—1111113M. Kratochvil—4880
WAug 16 · 09:28J. Cernik—91111113M. Kratochvil—119261
LAug 16 · 06:30J. Cernik—77100M. Kratochvil—1111123
WJul 19 · 06:30J. Cernik—811711113M. Kratochvil—11411282
LJun 7 · 01:30J. Cernik—51151182M. Kratochvil—119118113
WJun 6 · 19:30J. Cernik—91111113M. Kratochvil—114941
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik2.75611111182J. Zajicek1.40118713113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113WAug 28 · 11:00E. Mares2.10911481J. Cernik1.6711711113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630LAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113
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