TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13034684
Played Aug 29Finished
Jan Cernik
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
6111181171113811
Jan Zajicek
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Cernik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Cernik above · Jan Zajicek below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 97 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Cernik at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Cernik 9–32 Jan Zajicek Jan Cernik has won 9 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:01What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-32 in 41
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 23 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 2083 vs Zajicek 1929
Cernik
Wrong
both rated, 154 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 40% vs Zajicek 20%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 60% vs Zajicek 40%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -1 · Zajicek -4
Zajicek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zajicek form (20%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.75 / Zajicek 1.40
Signal prob.37% / 64%
Edge (Zajicek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13034684
Cernik2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 26 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Zajicek1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 106 of 162
Up 2–0, closes it95% 56 of 59
Up 1–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik2wins
AwayZajicek8wins
5 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik33.3%1 of 3
AwayZajicek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik3Zajicek7n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S2Cernik4Zajicek6n = 10Zajicek took 6 of 10
S3Cernik6Zajicek4n = 10Cernik took 6 of 10
S4Cernik4Zajicek3n = 7Cernik took 4 of 7
S5Cernik0Zajicek5n = 5Zajicek took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikZajicekC − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.1−4.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikZajicekBasisWin rate · lifetime193 / 324 vs 345 / 65259.6%52.9%193 / 324 vs 345 / 652Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekCernik 2.75/Zajicek 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 29 · 10:00J. Cernik—61111133J. Zajicek—1149111
LAug 29 · 06:30J. Cernik—611111182J. Zajicek—118713113
LAug 25 · 19:00J. Cernik—14740J. Zajicek—1611113
LAug 25 · 15:00J. Cernik—651112132J. Zajicek—1111810153
LJul 10 · 20:00J. Cernik—138111162J. Zajicek—151155113
LJun 21 · 17:00J. Cernik—117471J. Zajicek—41111113
LJun 21 · 15:00J. Cernik—76120J. Zajicek—1111143
LJun 21 · 12:30J. Cernik—61111772J. Zajicek—118911113
LJun 6 · 10:00J. Cernik—13381122J. Zajicek—1111116113
WMay 17 · 16:59J. Cernik—1111113J. Zajicek—7790
J. Cernik10
WAug 29 · 13:30J. Cernik2.33911911113L. Boruvka1.5411511792WAug 29 · 12:30J. Cernik2.7512117113L. Boruvka1.401041161WAug 29 · 11:00J. Cernik1.281111113M. Kratochvil3.508630WAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133WAug 29 · 09:00J. Cernik1.401111123M. Kratochvil2.6579100LAug 29 · 08:00L. Boruvka1.4061111113J. Cernik2.75119941WAug 29 · 07:00M. Kratochvil3.008780J. Cernik1.361111113LAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:00M. Kratochvil2.385670J. Cernik1.531111113WAug 28 · 11:00E. Mares2.10911481J. Cernik1.6711711113
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LAug 29 · 10:00J. Zajicek1.401149111J. Cernik2.7561111133
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