TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13064556
Played Sep 3Finished
Michal Zahradka
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1131513911711118
Matous Klimenta
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:58 and never touched — 62.4% is still 62.4%
Graded at full timeMatous Klimenta to win
62.4%
62.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Zahradka above · Matous Klimenta below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 15-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 99 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Matous Klimenta at 62.4%
99 points played in total.
H2H Michal Zahradka 9–16 Matous Klimenta Michal Zahradka has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Klimenta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-16 in 25
Klimenta
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zahradka 1849 vs Klimenta 1742
Zahradka
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zahradka 40% vs Klimenta 80%
Klimenta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zahradka 50% vs Klimenta 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zahradka -2 · Klimenta +3
Klimenta
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Klimenta) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZahradka 2.20 / Klimenta 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Klimenta)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13064556
Zahradka2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 81 of 202
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 58
Klimenta1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 42 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it77% 30 of 39
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZahradka3wins
AwayKlimenta7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZahradka66.7%2 of 3
AwayKlimenta85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zahradka3Klimenta7n = 10Klimenta took 7 of 10
S2Zahradka4Klimenta6n = 10Klimenta took 6 of 10
S3Zahradka4Klimenta6n = 10Klimenta took 6 of 10
S4Zahradka4Klimenta5n = 9Klimenta took 5 of 9
S5Zahradka2Klimenta2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZahradkaKlimentaZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.842.1−4.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZahradkaKlimentaBasisWin rate · lifetime435 / 892 vs 201 / 36048.8%55.8%435 / 892 vs 201 / 360Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaZahradka 2.20/Klimenta 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zahradka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka—111597113M. Klimenta—313111182
LJul 11 · 23:30M. Zahradka—581121M. Klimenta—11119113
LJul 10 · 18:00M. Zahradka—811861M. Klimenta—11611113
LJun 20 · 21:29M. Zahradka—88111132M. Klimenta—111145113
WJun 20 · 18:30M. Zahradka—9111111113M. Klimenta—11913972
LJun 13 · 21:30M. Zahradka—132881M. Klimenta—111111113
LJun 13 · 20:00M. Zahradka—8101191M. Klimenta—11127113
LMay 24 · 19:00M. Zahradka—101161152M. Klimenta—129115113
WMay 7 · 19:00M. Zahradka—13511113M. Klimenta—1111591
LMay 4 · 20:58M. Zahradka—61040M. Klimenta—1112113
M. Zahradka10
WSep 5 · 21:28M. Zahradka1.731111113J. Kanera2.006450LSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:00J. Kanera2.104121151M. Zahradka1.671114793WSep 5 · 18:30M. Zahradka1.831111188113O. Kolisnyk1.8348201182LSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:00E. Mares1.22916891M. Zahradka4.00111411113WSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:30M. Zahradka1.6191111113J. Ruzicka2.20116361WSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750WSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153LJul 26 · 24:00M. Klimenta1.73127661M. Huk2.00101111113WJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr2.2591111682M. Klimenta1.57118811113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
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