TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295872
Played Jul 25Finished
Jan Mecl Jr
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911118118611811
Matous Klimenta
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:41 and never touched — 61.9% is still 61.9%
Graded at full timeMatous Klimenta to win
61.9%
61.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Mecl Jr above · Matous Klimenta below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 94 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Matous Klimenta at 61.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Jan Mecl Jr 3–8 Matous Klimenta Jan Mecl Jr has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:41What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Klimenta
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-8 in 11
Klimenta
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jr 1738 vs Klimenta 1779
Klimenta
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jr 40% vs Klimenta 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jr 50% vs Klimenta 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jr -3 · Klimenta +1
Jr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Klimenta) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJr 2.25 / Klimenta 1.57
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Klimenta)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295872
Jr2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 31 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back24% 11 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Klimenta1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 50 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJr2wins
AwayKlimenta8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJrn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKlimenta100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jr2Klimenta8n = 10Klimenta took 8 of 10
S2Jr7Klimenta3n = 10Jr took 7 of 10
S3Jr5Klimenta5n = 10split evenly
S4Jr1Klimenta6n = 7Klimenta took 6 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJrKlimentaJ − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.9−4.9per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJrKlimentaBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 795 vs 226 / 40551.3%55.8%408 / 795 vs 226 / 405Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaJr 2.25/Klimenta 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Klimenta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr—91111682M. Klimenta—118811113
LJun 18 · 20:00J. Jr—1271161M. Klimenta—14114113
LMay 24 · 21:29J. Jr—1213471M. Klimenta—141111113
LMay 24 · 18:00J. Jr—511491M. Klimenta—11911113
LMay 7 · 20:59J. Jr—6780M. Klimenta—1111113
LMay 7 · 20:30J. Jr—71116101M. Klimenta—11918123
WDec 25 · 21:00J. Jr—1111113M. Klimenta—8960
LMay 28 · 20:30J. Jr—551381M. Klimenta—111111113
LMay 16 · 21:30J. Jr—111141582M. Klimenta—1361113113
WMay 16 · 18:00J. Jr—1112133M. Klimenta—610110
J. Jr10
WSep 5 · 20:58J. Jr1.5711119113O. Kolisnyk2.25691181WSep 5 · 20:00J. Jr1.611112157133M. Zahradka2.209141311112WSep 5 · 19:30O. Kolisnyk2.256490J. Jr1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:00J. Jr1.53691291J. Kanera2.38111110113LAug 27 · 16:58J. Jr1.6111581182J. Kanera2.20911114113WAug 27 · 16:30J. Kanera2.2010950J. Jr1.611211113LAug 27 · 15:30J. Jr2.38481191E. Mares1.5311117113LAug 27 · 14:30V. Koubek1.40111015113J. Jr2.754121371LAug 27 · 13:00J. Jr1.61114891M. Kratochvil2.2071111113LAug 27 · 12:00J. Jr2.203870E. Mares1.611111113
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153LJul 26 · 24:00M. Klimenta1.73127661M. Huk2.00101111113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.