TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12295867
Played Jul 26Finished
Matous Klimenta
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1210711611611––
Martin Huk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMatous Klimenta to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMatous Klimenta above · Martin Huk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 74 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Matous Klimenta at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Matous Klimenta 36–34 Martin Huk Martin Huk has won 34 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Klimenta
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
36-34 in 70
Klimenta
Wrong
gap of 2 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Klimenta 1779 vs Huk 1710
Klimenta
Wrong
both rated, 70 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Klimenta 40% vs Huk 60%
Huk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Klimenta 50% vs Huk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Klimenta +2 · Huk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Klimenta)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klimenta form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKlimenta 1.73 / Huk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klimenta)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12295867
Klimenta1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 50 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it79% 37 of 47
Huk2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 115 of 287
Down 0–1, comes back22% 33 of 147
Down 0–2, comes back7% 6 of 83
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKlimenta6wins
AwayHuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKlimenta leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKlimenta100%3 of 3
AwayHuk57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Klimenta3Huk7n = 10Huk took 7 of 10
S2Klimenta7Huk3n = 10Klimenta took 7 of 10
S3Klimenta4Huk6n = 10Huk took 6 of 10
S4Klimenta6Huk2n = 8Klimenta took 6 of 8
S5Klimenta2Huk1n = 3Klimenta took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKlimentaHukK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.838.7+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKlimentaHukBasisWin rate · lifetime226 / 405 vs 830 / 170555.8%48.7%226 / 405 vs 830 / 1705Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.438.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlimentaKlimenta 1.73/Huk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Klimenta · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Huk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 18 · 23:30M. Klimenta—7670M. Huk—1111113
WJul 8 · 20:59M. Klimenta—11611113M. Huk—811961
LJul 8 · 20:30M. Klimenta—101171492M. Huk—1271112113
WJun 20 · 19:00M. Klimenta—9111211113M. Huk—11614462
WJun 4 · 21:28M. Klimenta—71111113M. Huk—117481
WJun 4 · 20:00M. Klimenta—1111113M. Huk—7790
LMay 19 · 21:30M. Klimenta—1115981M. Huk—131311113
LMay 19 · 19:30M. Klimenta—5115111M. Huk—11711133
WApr 20 · 19:30M. Klimenta—158811123M. Huk—1311111102
WMar 10 · 21:00M. Klimenta—81112113M. Huk—1181081
M. Klimenta10
LSep 3 · 08:59M. Klimenta1.809860J. Ruzicka1.911111113WSep 3 · 08:30M. Klimenta1.80991111133J. Ruzicka1.91111193112LSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113LSep 3 · 06:00M. Zahradka2.20111597113M. Klimenta1.61313111182WJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652WJul 26 · 02:30M. Klimenta2.25113711113F. Wolf1.5781111792WJul 26 · 01:30J. Ruzicka1.8395130M. Klimenta1.831111153WJul 25 · 23:00J. Jr2.2591111682M. Klimenta1.57118811113WJul 23 · 20:58P. Gireth1.44101311432M. Klimenta2.631211811113LJul 23 · 20:00M. Klimenta2.5081121152J. Vales1.50113118113
M. Huk10
WSep 3 · 13:29M. Zahradka1.6110131081M. Huk2.20121112113WSep 3 · 12:30M. Huk1.8312119113J. Ruzicka1.831071191LSep 3 · 11:00M. Huk1.91711561M. Zahradka1.8011911113WSep 3 · 10:00E. Mares1.4461114662M. Huk2.631151211113LSep 3 · 09:28M. Zahradka1.801111113M. Huk1.915750LSep 3 · 08:00M. Zahradka1.73511114123M. Huk2.00118711102WSep 3 · 07:00M. Klimenta1.80118681M. Huk1.9141111113WSep 3 · 06:30M. Huk1.801171011113J. Ruzicka1.9161112772WSep 2 · 21:28J. Kycelt1.50116871M. Huk2.5041111113LJul 26 · 03:28M. Klimenta1.73911711113M. Huk2.0011411652
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