TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12378225
Played Aug 8Finished
Zdenek Bilek
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711119611––
Lukas Jindrak
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZdenek Bilek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZdenek Bilek above · Lukas Jindrak below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 5-10
Point 70 set 4, 5-10 — our read held Zdenek Bilek at 54.0%
70 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Zdenek Bilek 6–4 Lukas Jindrak Lukas Jindrak has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:21What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Bilek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Bilek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bilek 1802 vs Jindrak 1979
Jindrak
Correct
both rated, 176 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bilek 20% vs Jindrak 80%
Jindrak
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bilek 30% vs Jindrak 70%
Jindrak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bilek -4 · Jindrak +1
Bilek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jindrak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jindrak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBilek 1.67 / Jindrak 2.10
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jindrak)+10.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12378225
Bilek1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite57% won 39 of 68
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it84% 27 of 32
Jindrak2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 28 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBilek6wins
AwayJindrak4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderBilek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBilek100%4 of 4
AwayJindrak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bilek4Jindrak6n = 10Jindrak took 6 of 10
S2Bilek6Jindrak4n = 10Bilek took 6 of 10
S3Bilek6Jindrak4n = 10Bilek took 6 of 10
S4Bilek3Jindrak3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBilekJindrakB − JBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.934.4+0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBilekJindrakBasisWin rate · lifetime196 / 370 vs 264 / 47853%55.2%196 / 370 vs 264 / 478Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JindrakBilek 1.67/Jindrak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.2%
Jindrak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jindrak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 8 · 11:00Z. Bilek—671161L. Jindrak—11119113
LMay 13 · 21:28Z. Bilek—411110L. Jindrak—1113133
WMay 13 · 19:30Z. Bilek—11611123L. Jindrak—8115101
LApr 12 · 16:30Z. Bilek—5590L. Jindrak—1111113
WMar 4 · 22:07Z. Bilek—91311113L. Jindrak—1111981
LMar 4 · 19:30Z. Bilek—911981L. Jindrak—11811113
WFeb 15 · 18:30Z. Bilek—1111153L. Jindrak—96130
WFeb 15 · 15:00Z. Bilek—1111113L. Jindrak—3830
WNov 3 · 21:30Z. Bilek—11111113L. Jindrak—118891
WApr 18 · 15:00Z. Bilek—111179113L. Jindrak—84111162
Z. Bilek10
LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113LAug 15 · 02:30L. Zeman2.3813511113Z. Bilek1.531111941LAug 15 · 01:00T. Postelt2.631111710113Z. Bilek1.4486111292LAug 14 · 23:30Z. Bilek1.801171091M. Kratochvil1.9181112113LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113WAug 8 · 13:00E. Mares1.73551812102Z. Bilek2.0011111610123LAug 8 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.50891181L. Zeman2.5011118113
L. Jindrak10
LSep 5 · 16:59L. Jindrak1.8576110J. Vales1.851111133WSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941LSep 5 · 15:30J. Medek1.331111113L. Jindrak3.257750WSep 5 · 14:00L. Jindrak1.831011511113J. Vales1.8312911592LSep 1 · 17:00L. Jindrak1.50113691F. Wolf2.5091111113LSep 1 · 16:30L. Jindrak1.408490J. Kycelt2.751111113LSep 1 · 15:00L. Jindrak1.50114111252T. Postelt2.50711414113WSep 1 · 14:00F. Wolf2.6311131151L. Jindrak1.4413159113WAug 26 · 09:28E. Mares2.2511671152L. Jindrak1.57611115113LAug 26 · 08:00L. Jindrak1.619880E. Mares2.201111113
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