TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12382609
Played Aug 8Finished
Erik Mares
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511511181612101012
Zdenek Bilek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
How it is goingErik Mares above · Zdenek Bilek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 110 set 5, 10-12
110 points played in total.
H2H Erik Mares 48–33 Zdenek Bilek Zdenek Bilek has won 33 of their 81 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bilek form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMares 1.73 / Bilek 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Mares)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12382609
Mares1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 100 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it86% 61 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it72% 80 of 111
Bilek2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 39 of 83
Down 0–1, comes back26% 12 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back11% 3 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMares5wins
AwayBilek5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMares57.1%4 of 7
AwayBilek66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mares7Bilek3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S2Mares7Bilek3n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Mares4Bilek6n = 10Bilek took 6 of 10
S4Mares4Bilek4n = 8split evenly
S5Mares2Bilek4n = 6Bilek took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaresBilekM − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.741.9+2.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaresBilekBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 1117 vs 195 / 36949.9%52.9%557 / 1117 vs 195 / 369Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.037.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresMares 1.73/Bilek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.7%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Bilek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 8 · 10:00E. Mares—1111113Z. Bilek—9950
LJun 30 · 21:00E. Mares—111281052Z. Bilek—6101112113
LJun 30 · 19:30E. Mares—1111109102Z. Bilek—671211123
LJun 27 · 02:30E. Mares—91341372Z. Bilek—11111111113
WJun 17 · 20:30E. Mares—5111111113Z. Bilek—11135892
WJun 10 · 21:30E. Mares—111110113Z. Bilek—261261
WJun 10 · 18:00E. Mares—118149113Z. Bilek—911121172
LJun 7 · 01:00E. Mares—13971392Z. Bilek—11111111113
WJun 3 · 21:30E. Mares—1511113Z. Bilek—13850
LJun 3 · 20:30E. Mares—1011891Z. Bilek—12611113
E. Mares10
LSep 6 · 09:00E. Mares1.579111111102O. Kolisnyk2.25111369123WSep 6 · 08:00E. Mares1.83114116113J. Vales1.8351151152WSep 6 · 07:30O. Kolisnyk2.5089111172E. Mares1.50111169113LSep 6 · 06:00E. Mares1.83911117102T. Postelt1.83113911123LSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:00E. Mares1.83119113132J. Vales1.83611511153WSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:00E. Mares2.259620J. Medek1.571111113LSep 4 · 21:30E. Mares2.00311111052J. Medek1.73119912113WSep 4 · 20:00E. Mares1.8011813113J. Vales1.912111171
Z. Bilek10
LAug 30 · 13:29Z. Bilek2.1011911482E. Mares1.65311711113WAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442WAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122WAug 30 · 10:00E. Mares1.73961131Z. Bilek2.0011114113LAug 15 · 02:30L. Zeman2.3813511113Z. Bilek1.531111941LAug 15 · 01:00T. Postelt2.631111710113Z. Bilek1.4486111292LAug 14 · 23:30Z. Bilek1.801171091M. Kratochvil1.9181112113LAug 14 · 22:00Z. Bilek2.2010380E. Mares1.611211113LAug 8 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.50891181L. Zeman2.5011118113LAug 8 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.67671161L. Jindrak2.1011119113
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