TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13029672
Played Aug 28Finished
Tomas Kos
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
911113114116––
Michal Kratochvil
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kos above · Michal Kratochvil below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 66 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Tomas Kos at 60.1%
66 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kos 4–3 Michal Kratochvil Michal Kratochvil has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:40What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Kos
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kos 1893 vs Kratochvil 1800
Kos
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kos 40% vs Kratochvil 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kos 60% vs Kratochvil 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kos +2 · Kratochvil -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Kos) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKos 1.53 / Kratochvil 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Kos)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13029672
Kos1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 17 of 31
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Kratochvil2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 98 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back32% 40 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back9% 6 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKos4wins
AwayKratochvil3wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKos leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKos66.7%4 of 6
AwayKratochviln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kos6Kratochvil1n = 7Kos took 6 of 7
S2Kos3Kratochvil4n = 7Kratochvil took 4 of 7
S3Kos6Kratochvil1n = 7Kos took 6 of 7
S4Kos3Kratochvil2n = 5Kos took 3 of 5
S5Kos0Kratochvil3n = 3Kratochvil took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKosKratochvilKos − KratochvilBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set61+5of 7Avg pointsper match40.035.1+4.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosKratochvilBasisWin rate · lifetime80 / 168 vs 273 / 55947.6%48.8%80 / 168 vs 273 / 559Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosKos 1.53/Kratochvil 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Kos · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 28 · 06:30T. Kos—11511282M. Kratochvil—011811113
WAug 15 · 16:30T. Kos—12119113M. Kratochvil—1061131
WAug 14 · 16:30T. Kos—11611143M. Kratochvil—7111121
WJul 19 · 08:30T. Kos—1113113M. Kratochvil—91190
LMay 10 · 12:30T. Kos—11911582M. Kratochvil—811511113
WMay 10 · 08:30T. Kos—1111123M. Kratochvil—73100
LMay 9 · 15:30T. Kos—78121172M. Kratochvil—1111106113
T. Kos10
WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 09:29J. Zajicek1.361111143T. Kos3.0083120LAug 30 · 08:30J. Zajicek1.401111113T. Kos2.758570WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860WAug 30 · 06:30E. Mares2.00411551T. Kos1.7311711113WAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:30E. Mares1.8314580T. Kos1.831611113
M. Kratochvil10
WSep 3 · 21:30R. Urbaniec2.00771171M. Kratochvil1.7311119113WSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113WSep 3 · 19:00V. Burdik2.201179101M. Kratochvil1.6191111123LSep 3 · 18:30M. Kratochvil1.50914881R. Urbaniec2.50111211113LAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:00E. Mares1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.754890LAug 30 · 11:00Z. Bilek1.83791111143M. Kratochvil1.83111146122LAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 08:58M. Kratochvil3.00101111782E. Mares1.36125911113LAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860
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