TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13042173
Played Aug 30Finished
Jan Zajicek
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118115117––––
Tomas Kos
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:19 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeTomas Kos to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJan Zajicek above · Tomas Kos below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Kos at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Zajicek 15–5 Tomas Kos Tomas Kos has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:19What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Zajicek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Zajicek
Correct
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zajicek 1867 vs Kos 1942
Kos
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zajicek 60% vs Kos 100%
Kos
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zajicek 50% vs Kos 70%
Kos
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zajicek +2 · Kos +5
Kos
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Zajicek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kos form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZajicek 1.40 / Kos 2.75
Signal prob.64% / 37%
Edge (Zajicek)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13042173
Zajicek1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 102 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it86% 77 of 90
Kos2.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back12% 3 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZajicek8wins
AwayKos2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZajicek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZajicek100%8 of 8
AwayKosn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zajicek8Kos2n = 10Zajicek took 8 of 10
S2Zajicek7Kos3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S3Zajicek7Kos3n = 10Zajicek took 7 of 10
S4Zajicek1Kos3n = 4Kos took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZajicekKosZ − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match36.132.0+4.1per matchSweeps51+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZajicekKosBasisWin rate · lifetime344 / 654 vs 85 / 17352.6%49.1%344 / 654 vs 85 / 173Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZajicekZajicek 1.40/Kos 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.5%
Zajicek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Zajicek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 15:30J. Zajicek—1111113T. Kos—7590
WJul 29 · 19:30J. Zajicek—1114123T. Kos—612100
WMay 24 · 12:58J. Zajicek—11118113T. Kos—871171
LMay 24 · 10:00J. Zajicek—771131T. Kos—11118113
WMay 23 · 18:30J. Zajicek—1111611113T. Kos—79111382
WMay 23 · 14:00J. Zajicek—1111113T. Kos—8950
LApr 25 · 17:01J. Zajicek—8570T. Kos—1111113
WApr 25 · 14:30J. Zajicek—1111133T. Kos—89110
WDec 26 · 11:00J. Zajicek—117119113T. Kos—71161162
WSep 29 · 16:30J. Zajicek—1111133T. Kos—85120
J. Zajicek10
LSep 5 · 17:29J. Medek1.731111113J. Zajicek2.005690LSep 5 · 16:00L. Jindrak2.6391111113J. Zajicek1.44114941WSep 5 · 15:00J. Vales2.6310370J. Zajicek1.441211113WSep 5 · 14:30J. Zajicek1.8311116143J. Medek1.839811121WSep 5 · 13:00E. Mares1.731111771J. Zajicek2.0061311113LSep 5 · 12:30J. Medek1.831111113J. Zajicek1.839970LSep 5 · 11:30J. Zajicek1.73911681E. Mares2.0011711113LSep 5 · 10:30J. Vales2.631111123J. Zajicek1.4474100WSep 4 · 20:58J. Vales2.508690J. Zajicek1.501111113LSep 4 · 20:30J. Medek1.8061111113J. Zajicek1.91117671
T. Kos10
WAug 30 · 12:59T. Kos1.401111113M. Kratochvil2.756980LAug 30 · 12:30Z. Bilek1.91911811113T. Kos1.8011611442LAug 30 · 11:30T. Kos1.67891181E. Mares2.1011114113WAug 30 · 10:30M. Kratochvil3.00911115142T. Kos1.36116611163LAug 30 · 09:29J. Zajicek1.361111143T. Kos3.0083120WAug 30 · 07:30T. Kos1.441111113M. Kratochvil2.638860WAug 30 · 06:30E. Mares2.00411551T. Kos1.7311711113WAug 28 · 13:30T. Kos2.2011101011113J. Cernik1.6091212992WAug 28 · 12:30E. Mares1.8314580T. Kos1.831611113WAug 28 · 11:30T. Kos1.5391111113M. Kratochvil2.38113461
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.