TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13088590
Played Sep 6Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114119911411115
Marcel Pikous
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Marcel Pikous below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 86 set 5, 11-5
86 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 12–9 Marcel Pikous Marcel Pikous has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rose)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rose form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.73 / Pikous 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Rose)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13088590
Rose1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 29 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it68% 19 of 28
Pikous2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 42 of 100
Down 0–1, comes back30% 17 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose3wins
AwayPikous7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPikous leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose75%3 of 4
AwayPikous100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S2Rose5Pikous5n = 10split evenly
S3Rose4Pikous6n = 10Pikous took 6 of 10
S4Rose2Pikous3n = 5Pikous took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricRosePikousR − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match33.335.8−2.5per matchSweeps23−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRosePikousBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 342 vs 367 / 69646.2%52.7%158 / 342 vs 367 / 696Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RoseRose 1.73/Pikous 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 15:30R. Rose—812841M. Pikous—111011113
LAug 14 · 20:58R. Rose—7550M. Pikous—1111113
LAug 14 · 18:00R. Rose—115681M. Pikous—51111113
WMay 4 · 19:30R. Rose—11813113M. Pikous—9111191
LApr 28 · 18:00R. Rose—9111211102M. Pikous—119148123
WJan 26 · 20:30R. Rose—1111113M. Pikous—5750
WJan 12 · 20:00R. Rose—1111133M. Pikous—73110
LDec 29 · 15:00R. Rose—91080M. Pikous—1112113
LDec 26 · 20:00R. Rose—51030M. Pikous—1112113
LDec 23 · 18:00R. Rose—91111862M. Pikous—119211113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113WAug 27 · 19:30R. Rose1.61641411123M. Klement2.201111124102
M. Pikous10
WSep 6 · 16:30J. Tazler2.25149511122M. Pikous1.571211119143WSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841LSep 6 · 14:30K. Schopf2.101111113M. Pikous1.677890LSep 6 · 02:59M. Pikous1.738860M. Regner2.001111113LSep 6 · 02:00J. Tazler2.759111011143M. Pikous1.40118129122LSep 6 · 24:30M. Pikous1.6163141162K. Schopf2.201111129113WSep 5 · 23:00M. Pikous1.671111113M. Sychra2.107680WSep 5 · 22:00M. Regner2.00115861M. Pikous1.7381111113WSep 5 · 16:59R. Wagner1.775560M. Pikous1.931111113LSep 5 · 16:30M. Pikous2.0081270D. Hofman1.731114113
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