TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13021324
Played Aug 27Finished
Radek Rose
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61141114121141210
Milan Klement
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadek Rose to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightpick shipped
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Milan Klement below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Radek Rose at 54.0%
95 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 4–2 Milan Klement Milan Klement has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:52What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Rose
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Rose
Correct
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1540 vs Klement 1681
Klement
Wrong
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 0% vs Klement 60%
Klement
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 40% vs Klement 70%
Klement
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -5 · Klement -1
Rose
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rose)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Klement form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 1.61 / Klement 2.20
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Klement)+3.7pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13021324
Rose1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 25 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Klement2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog43% won 75 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back25% 21 of 84
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeRose4wins
AwayKlement2wins
1 of 6 to a deciderRose leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose60%3 of 5
AwayKlementn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose5Klement1n = 6Rose took 5 of 6
S2Rose2Klement4n = 6Klement took 4 of 6
S3Rose3Klement3n = 6split evenly
S4Rose3Klement2n = 5Rose took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricRoseKlementR − KBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set51+4of 6Avg pointsper match39.237.2+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseKlementBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 340 vs 454 / 87545.6%51.9%155 / 340 vs 454 / 875Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KlementRose 1.61/Klement 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rose · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Rose won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJan 4 · 09:00R. Rose—153791M. Klement—131111113
WDec 26 · 22:12R. Rose—13911113M. Klement—1111381
WDec 26 · 21:30R. Rose—1171111113M. Klement—91113942
WOct 22 · 21:00R. Rose—1111113M. Klement—9640
WOct 22 · 18:00R. Rose—91112113M. Klement—1181081
LJun 12 · 20:30R. Rose—114871M. Klement—91111113
R. Rose10
WSep 6 · 17:29R. Rose1.73111194113M. Pikous2.0049111152WSep 6 · 16:00R. Rose1.331111113K. Schopf3.258620LSep 6 · 15:30M. Pikous2.10111011113R. Rose1.67812841WSep 6 · 14:00R. Rose1.571311113J. Tazler2.2511870LSep 3 · 21:28M. Sychra1.44111496133R. Rose2.639121111112LSep 3 · 20:00R. Rose3.2568111392M. Sychra1.331111911113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Kolar1.831011651R. Rose1.8312711113WSep 3 · 18:00R. Rose1.67159711113J. Louda2.10131111362WAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111WAug 27 · 20:30R. Urbaniec2.00912331R. Rose1.73111011113
M. Klement10
WSep 6 · 09:30M. Klement1.651111128113V. Vejvoda2.10138101162WSep 6 · 08:30P. Saleny2.00125781M. Klement1.73101111113WSep 6 · 07:30M. Klement1.6111811113V. Vejvoda2.20511591WSep 6 · 06:30M. Wagner1.5375111192M. Klement2.38111189113WSep 4 · 02:58T. Franek1.676850M. Klement2.101111113LSep 4 · 02:00M. Sychra1.531111113M. Klement2.388890WSep 4 · 24:30M. Klement2.20911136113T. Franek1.61119111152LSep 3 · 23:00M. Klement3.00891151J. Simecek1.3611117113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Wagner1.7351411113M. Klement2.001112971LAug 27 · 20:58R. Rose1.5341111133M. Klement2.381176111
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